Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 15°C as the leading lowest temperature outcome for Shanghai on April 15 at 47.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting overnight lows near 14-16°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-90%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Recent observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm April 14 morning temperatures lingering near 15°C under foggy, drizzly conditions, signaling a mild East Asian spring pattern above the historical April median low of 11-12°C. With 13°C (35%) and 14°C (28.4%) close behind, models show sensitivity to overnight clearing, which could shave 1-2°C; new 12z runs expected later today may refine this before resolution tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 15 апреля?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 15 апреля?
13°C 34.9%
12°C 11.3%
14°C 9.0%
11°C <1%
$50,774 Объем
$50,774 Объем
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
7%
13°C
35%
14°C
26%
15°C
48%
13°C 34.9%
12°C 11.3%
14°C 9.0%
11°C <1%
$50,774 Объем
$50,774 Объем
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
7%
13°C
35%
14°C
26%
15°C
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 15°C as the leading lowest temperature outcome for Shanghai on April 15 at 47.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting overnight lows near 14-16°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-90%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Recent observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm April 14 morning temperatures lingering near 15°C under foggy, drizzly conditions, signaling a mild East Asian spring pattern above the historical April median low of 11-12°C. With 13°C (35%) and 14°C (28.4%) close behind, models show sensitivity to overnight clearing, which could shave 1-2°C; new 12z runs expected later today may refine this before resolution tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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