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Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 15 апреля?

Market icon

Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 15 апреля?

13°C 34.9%

12°C 11.3%

14°C 9.0%

11°C <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$50,774 Объем

13°C 34.9%

12°C 11.3%

14°C 9.0%

11°C <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$50,774 Объем

9°C или ниже

$1,700 Объем

<1%

10°C

$1,846 Объем

<1%

11°C

$1,884 Объем

<1%

12°C

$1,692 Объем

7%

13°C

$1,433 Объем

35%

14°C

$2,103 Объем

26%

15°C

$2,090 Объем

48%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 15°C as the leading lowest temperature outcome for Shanghai on April 15 at 47.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting overnight lows near 14-16°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-90%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Recent observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm April 14 morning temperatures lingering near 15°C under foggy, drizzly conditions, signaling a mild East Asian spring pattern above the historical April median low of 11-12°C. With 13°C (35%) and 14°C (28.4%) close behind, models show sensitivity to overnight clearing, which could shave 1-2°C; new 12z runs expected later today may refine this before resolution tomorrow.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$50,774
Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 15°C as the leading lowest temperature outcome for Shanghai on April 15 at 47.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting overnight lows near 14-16°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-90%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Recent observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm April 14 morning temperatures lingering near 15°C under foggy, drizzly conditions, signaling a mild East Asian spring pattern above the historical April median low of 11-12°C. With 13°C (35%) and 14°C (28.4%) close behind, models show sensitivity to overnight clearing, which could shave 1-2°C; new 12z runs expected later today may refine this before resolution tomorrow.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$50,774
Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 15 апреля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «15°C» с 48%, за ним следует «13°C» с 35%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 48¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 48%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 15 апреля?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $50.8K с момента запуска рынка Apr 14, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 15 апреля?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 15 апреля?» — «15°C» с 48%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 48%. Следующий ближайший исход — «13°C» с 35%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 15 апреля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.