Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 33°C (43%) and 32°C (39.5%) as the likely highest temperature at Taipei Songshan Airport Station today, driven by a week-long warm spell with observed highs of 31–33°C, including 33°C on April 11 and 31°C yesterday under clear skies. The Central Weather Administration forecasts a daytime peak of up to 31°C amid partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, but traders anticipate potential exceedance due to persistent high-pressure subsidence favoring solar heating and minimal cloud interference. Differentiating factors include afternoon insolation variability, urban heat island effects in Taipei, and shower timing—clearer intervals could push toward 33°C, while increased cloud cover caps at 32°C. Hourly observations will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.