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Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?

апр. 14

апр. 15

апр. 16

апр. 14

апр. 15

апр. 16

11°C 19%

14°C 16%

15°C 14%

12°C 13%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

11°C 19%

14°C 16%

15°C 14%

12°C 13%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

10°C or below

$33 Объем

6%

11°C

$26 Объем

19%

12°C

$41 Объем

33%

13°C

$19 Объем

27%

14°C

$23 Объем

16%

15°C

$40 Объем

14%

16°C

$65 Объем

13%

17°C

$127 Объем

2%

18°C

$224 Объем

1%

19°C

$40 Объем

1%

20°C or higher

$313 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 12°C at 49% implied probability for April 16 in Istanbul, reflecting the latest guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs near 12–13°C amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool continental air masses. Recent observations confirm this trend, with April 12–13 highs limited to 12–13°C under cloudy skies and light precipitation, well below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C. Overcast conditions and weak solar insolation continue to cap warming potential, though model ensembles show spread (±1–2°C) due to steering pattern uncertainties. Watch MGM hourly updates and fresh ECMWF runs by April 15 for potential shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$849
Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 12°C at 49% implied probability for April 16 in Istanbul, reflecting the latest guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs near 12–13°C amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool continental air masses. Recent observations confirm this trend, with April 12–13 highs limited to 12–13°C under cloudy skies and light precipitation, well below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C. Overcast conditions and weak solar insolation continue to cap warming potential, though model ensembles show spread (±1–2°C) due to steering pattern uncertainties. Watch MGM hourly updates and fresh ECMWF runs by April 15 for potential shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$849
Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «12°C» с 33%, за ним следует «13°C» с 27%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 33¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 33%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?» — «12°C» с 33%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 33%. Следующий ближайший исход — «13°C» с 27%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.