Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts project a maximum temperature of 27–29°C for Mexico City on April 16, reflecting yesterday's observed high of 27.6°C at Tacubaya station and a slight warming trend from prior days' 25–27°C estimates as northerly winds (10–25 km/h, gusts to 40 km/h) ease. Trader consensus on Polymarket mirrors this uncertainty, with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, edged by 28°C (26.5%) and 30°C (21.0%), as models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble highs near 28°C amid potential afternoon cloudiness and isolated showers from Pacific and Gulf moisture. At 2,240m elevation, urban heat island effects and dry-season solar insolation could differentiate outcomes, with clearer skies favoring 30°C+; daily SMN updates expected to refine guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 16?
29°C 29%
28°C 27%
30°C 23%
27°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
13%
27°C
16%
28°C
27%
29°C
29%
30°C
23%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 29%
28°C 27%
30°C 23%
27°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$430 Объем
1%
23°C
$470 Объем
<1%
24°C
$184 Объем
1%
25°C
$4 Объем
9%
26°C
$40 Объем
13%
27°C
$88 Объем
16%
28°C
$3 Объем
27%
29°C
$8 Объем
29%
30°C
$8 Объем
23%
31°C
$27 Объем
7%
32°C or higher
$25 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts project a maximum temperature of 27–29°C for Mexico City on April 16, reflecting yesterday's observed high of 27.6°C at Tacubaya station and a slight warming trend from prior days' 25–27°C estimates as northerly winds (10–25 km/h, gusts to 40 km/h) ease. Trader consensus on Polymarket mirrors this uncertainty, with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, edged by 28°C (26.5%) and 30°C (21.0%), as models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble highs near 28°C amid potential afternoon cloudiness and isolated showers from Pacific and Gulf moisture. At 2,240m elevation, urban heat island effects and dry-season solar insolation could differentiate outcomes, with clearer skies favoring 30°C+; daily SMN updates expected to refine guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Объем
$1,284Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts project a maximum temperature of 27–29°C for Mexico City on April 16, reflecting yesterday's observed high of 27.6°C at Tacubaya station and a slight warming trend from prior days' 25–27°C estimates as northerly winds (10–25 km/h, gusts to 40 km/h) ease. Trader consensus on Polymarket mirrors this uncertainty, with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, edged by 28°C (26.5%) and 30°C (21.0%), as models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble highs near 28°C amid potential afternoon cloudiness and isolated showers from Pacific and Gulf moisture. At 2,240m elevation, urban heat island effects and dry-season solar insolation could differentiate outcomes, with clearer skies favoring 30°C+; daily SMN updates expected to refine guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,284Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts project a maximum temperature of 27–29°C for Mexico City on April 16, reflecting yesterday's observed high of 27.6°C at Tacubaya station and a slight warming trend from prior days' 25–27°C estimates as northerly winds (10–25 km/h, gusts to 40 km/h) ease. Trader consensus on Polymarket mirrors this uncertainty, with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, edged by 28°C (26.5%) and 30°C (21.0%), as models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble highs near 28°C amid potential afternoon cloudiness and isolated showers from Pacific and Gulf moisture. At 2,240m elevation, urban heat island effects and dry-season solar insolation could differentiate outcomes, with clearer skies favoring 30°C+; daily SMN updates expected to refine guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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