PAGASA's latest extended outlook forecasts a Metro Manila high of 34°C on April 15 under a persistent ridge of high pressure and easterly winds, fostering clear skies with 0% rain chance, following yesterday's observed peak of 34.4°C at the Science Garden Quezon City station. Trader-implied probabilities cluster evenly at 23.5% across 32–38°C outcomes, reflecting inherent uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures driven by variable sea breeze timing—which can moderate urban heat island effects—solar insolation intensity, and potential isolated clouds disrupting model consensus. Historical April averages hover near 33–35°C amid the dry season peak, with new hourly observations through late afternoon expected to sharpen resolution as conditions evolve.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Manila on April 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 15?
32°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C 24%
35°C 24%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 апр. 2026 г.
29°C or below
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
24%
33°C
24%
34°C
24%
35°C
24%
36°C
24%
37°C
24%
38°C
24%
39°C or higher
11%
32°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C 24%
35°C 24%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 апр. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$379 Объем
2%
30°C
$214 Объем
1%
31°C
$215 Объем
2%
32°C
$0 Объем
24%
33°C
$0 Объем
24%
34°C
$0 Объем
24%
35°C
$0 Объем
24%
36°C
$0 Объем
24%
37°C
$0 Объем
24%
38°C
$0 Объем
24%
39°C or higher
$0 Объем
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended outlook forecasts a Metro Manila high of 34°C on April 15 under a persistent ridge of high pressure and easterly winds, fostering clear skies with 0% rain chance, following yesterday's observed peak of 34.4°C at the Science Garden Quezon City station. Trader-implied probabilities cluster evenly at 23.5% across 32–38°C outcomes, reflecting inherent uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures driven by variable sea breeze timing—which can moderate urban heat island effects—solar insolation intensity, and potential isolated clouds disrupting model consensus. Historical April averages hover near 33–35°C amid the dry season peak, with new hourly observations through late afternoon expected to sharpen resolution as conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Объем
$808Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended outlook forecasts a Metro Manila high of 34°C on April 15 under a persistent ridge of high pressure and easterly winds, fostering clear skies with 0% rain chance, following yesterday's observed peak of 34.4°C at the Science Garden Quezon City station. Trader-implied probabilities cluster evenly at 23.5% across 32–38°C outcomes, reflecting inherent uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures driven by variable sea breeze timing—which can moderate urban heat island effects—solar insolation intensity, and potential isolated clouds disrupting model consensus. Historical April averages hover near 33–35°C amid the dry season peak, with new hourly observations through late afternoon expected to sharpen resolution as conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$808Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest extended outlook forecasts a Metro Manila high of 34°C on April 15 under a persistent ridge of high pressure and easterly winds, fostering clear skies with 0% rain chance, following yesterday's observed peak of 34.4°C at the Science Garden Quezon City station. Trader-implied probabilities cluster evenly at 23.5% across 32–38°C outcomes, reflecting inherent uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures driven by variable sea breeze timing—which can moderate urban heat island effects—solar insolation intensity, and potential isolated clouds disrupting model consensus. Historical April averages hover near 33–35°C amid the dry season peak, with new hourly observations through late afternoon expected to sharpen resolution as conditions evolve.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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