Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-60s highs for San Francisco on April 16, with 66-67°F at 33.5% edging 68-69°F (28%) and 64-65°F (24.5%), capturing model ensemble spread from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks near 65°F. Persistent marine layer stratus, driven by cool sea surface temperatures in the California Current and steady westerly onshore flow, caps daytime heating via coastal advection fog, aligning with historical April averages of 64°F. Key differentiators include burn-off timing—prolonged clouds favor 64-65°F, quicker clearing under ridge amplification boosts 68-69°F—amid inherent forecast uncertainty in stratus depth and subsidence. Monitor evening NWS updates and dawn observations for potential shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 16?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 16?
66-67°F 31%
68-69°F 26%
64-65°F 24%
62-63°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 31%
68-69°F 26%
64-65°F 24%
62-63°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
59°F or below
$321 Объем
1%
60-61°F
$67 Объем
3%
62-63°F
$59 Объем
11%
64-65°F
$237 Объем
24%
66-67°F
$166 Объем
31%
68-69°F
$119 Объем
26%
70-71°F
$81 Объем
6%
72-73°F
$124 Объем
2%
74-75°F
$124 Объем
2%
76-77°F
$259 Объем
1%
78°F or higher
$603 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-60s highs for San Francisco on April 16, with 66-67°F at 33.5% edging 68-69°F (28%) and 64-65°F (24.5%), capturing model ensemble spread from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks near 65°F. Persistent marine layer stratus, driven by cool sea surface temperatures in the California Current and steady westerly onshore flow, caps daytime heating via coastal advection fog, aligning with historical April averages of 64°F. Key differentiators include burn-off timing—prolonged clouds favor 64-65°F, quicker clearing under ridge amplification boosts 68-69°F—amid inherent forecast uncertainty in stratus depth and subsidence. Monitor evening NWS updates and dawn observations for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 7:02 PM ET
Объем
$2,159Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 7:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-60s highs for San Francisco on April 16, with 66-67°F at 33.5% edging 68-69°F (28%) and 64-65°F (24.5%), capturing model ensemble spread from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks near 65°F. Persistent marine layer stratus, driven by cool sea surface temperatures in the California Current and steady westerly onshore flow, caps daytime heating via coastal advection fog, aligning with historical April averages of 64°F. Key differentiators include burn-off timing—prolonged clouds favor 64-65°F, quicker clearing under ridge amplification boosts 68-69°F—amid inherent forecast uncertainty in stratus depth and subsidence. Monitor evening NWS updates and dawn observations for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,159Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 7:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-60s highs for San Francisco on April 16, with 66-67°F at 33.5% edging 68-69°F (28%) and 64-65°F (24.5%), capturing model ensemble spread from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks near 65°F. Persistent marine layer stratus, driven by cool sea surface temperatures in the California Current and steady westerly onshore flow, caps daytime heating via coastal advection fog, aligning with historical April averages of 64°F. Key differentiators include burn-off timing—prolonged clouds favor 64-65°F, quicker clearing under ridge amplification boosts 68-69°F—amid inherent forecast uncertainty in stratus depth and subsidence. Monitor evening NWS updates and dawn observations for potential shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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