Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) forecast issued April 14 projects a 21°C high in Tokyo on April 15 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50% precipitation chance, driving trader consensus with 39.5% implied odds on 21°C, followed by 20°C at 26% and 22°C at 23.2%. This positioning reflects a mild spring pattern after early-week warmth peaked at 27°C on April 11, now moderated by persistent cloud cover suppressing solar heating and southerly flows delivering temperate air masses. Historical April highs average 19°C near Tokyo Haneda Airport—the resolution station—but short-term model runs show tight clustering around 20–22°C amid inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloud breaks or shower timing. Real-time observations will confirm the peak tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
21°C 40%
20°C 24%
22°C 22.9%
19°C 4.0%
НОВОЕ
$89,621 Объем
НОВОЕ
$89,621 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
24%
21°C
40%
22°C
23%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 40%
20°C 24%
22°C 22.9%
19°C 4.0%
НОВОЕ
$89,621 Объем
НОВОЕ
$89,621 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
17°C
$9,390 Объем
<1%
18°C
$9,626 Объем
1%
19°C
$7,085 Объем
4%
20°C
$4,619 Объем
24%
21°C
$4,807 Объем
40%
22°C
$6,916 Объем
23%
23°C
$6,473 Объем
2%
24°C or higher
$8,024 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) forecast issued April 14 projects a 21°C high in Tokyo on April 15 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50% precipitation chance, driving trader consensus with 39.5% implied odds on 21°C, followed by 20°C at 26% and 22°C at 23.2%. This positioning reflects a mild spring pattern after early-week warmth peaked at 27°C on April 11, now moderated by persistent cloud cover suppressing solar heating and southerly flows delivering temperate air masses. Historical April highs average 19°C near Tokyo Haneda Airport—the resolution station—but short-term model runs show tight clustering around 20–22°C amid inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloud breaks or shower timing. Real-time observations will confirm the peak tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$89,621Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) forecast issued April 14 projects a 21°C high in Tokyo on April 15 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50% precipitation chance, driving trader consensus with 39.5% implied odds on 21°C, followed by 20°C at 26% and 22°C at 23.2%. This positioning reflects a mild spring pattern after early-week warmth peaked at 27°C on April 11, now moderated by persistent cloud cover suppressing solar heating and southerly flows delivering temperate air masses. Historical April highs average 19°C near Tokyo Haneda Airport—the resolution station—but short-term model runs show tight clustering around 20–22°C amid inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloud breaks or shower timing. Real-time observations will confirm the peak tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$89,621Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) forecast issued April 14 projects a 21°C high in Tokyo on April 15 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50% precipitation chance, driving trader consensus with 39.5% implied odds on 21°C, followed by 20°C at 26% and 22°C at 23.2%. This positioning reflects a mild spring pattern after early-week warmth peaked at 27°C on April 11, now moderated by persistent cloud cover suppressing solar heating and southerly flows delivering temperate air masses. Historical April highs average 19°C near Tokyo Haneda Airport—the resolution station—but short-term model runs show tight clustering around 20–22°C amid inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloud breaks or shower timing. Real-time observations will confirm the peak tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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