Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 74-75°F (32.5%) for Denver on April 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing post-frontal clearing after morning showers from a departing low-pressure system, with a high-pressure ridge building over the central Rockies to deliver southerly winds and downslope warming effects. This follows recent showers and cooler highs near 61°F on April 14-15 amid spring storminess, contrasting March 2026's record warmth. High uncertainty stems from model spread in the GFS and European ensembles, where slower cloud dissipation or persistent low-level moisture could limit peaks to 68-71°F (19.5% each), stronger ridging boosts 76-77°F (19.5%), or drier conditions exceed 82°F (19.0%). Key variables include clearing timing by midday and 850mb temperatures; watch afternoon NWS updates and evening model runs for shifts before resolution at Denver International Airport.