Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 66-67°F at 36% implied probability for Buckley Space Force Base on April 15, closely trailed by 64-65°F (26.5%) and 68-69°F (24.5%), reflecting tight scientific uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts amid a weak upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air, increased cloudiness, and showers likely after 3 p.m. that could cap peak heating near 60°F per official guidance. However, ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models suggest potential afternoon cloud breaks enabling 2-4°F higher maxima via enhanced solar insolation, with north winds aiding boundary-layer mixing. Key differentiators include convective timing versus diurnal heating cycle and exact moisture advection; watch hourly Buckley observations against the 61°F climatological normal for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Denver on April 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 15?
66-67°F 35%
64-65°F 28%
68-69°F 24%
70-71°F 5.1%
НОВОЕ
$22,859 Объем
НОВОЕ
$22,859 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
55°F или ниже
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
35%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 35%
64-65°F 28%
68-69°F 24%
70-71°F 5.1%
НОВОЕ
$22,859 Объем
НОВОЕ
$22,859 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
55°F или ниже
$7,071 Объем
<1%
56-57°F
$1,863 Объем
<1%
58-59°F
$2,076 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$1,757 Объем
1%
62-63°F
$1,672 Объем
3%
64-65°F
$2,391 Объем
28%
66-67°F
$2,128 Объем
35%
68-69°F
$1,156 Объем
24%
70-71°F
$1,197 Объем
5%
72-73°F
$808 Объем
2%
74°F or higher
$838 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 66-67°F at 36% implied probability for Buckley Space Force Base on April 15, closely trailed by 64-65°F (26.5%) and 68-69°F (24.5%), reflecting tight scientific uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts amid a weak upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air, increased cloudiness, and showers likely after 3 p.m. that could cap peak heating near 60°F per official guidance. However, ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models suggest potential afternoon cloud breaks enabling 2-4°F higher maxima via enhanced solar insolation, with north winds aiding boundary-layer mixing. Key differentiators include convective timing versus diurnal heating cycle and exact moisture advection; watch hourly Buckley observations against the 61°F climatological normal for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Объем
$22,859Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 66-67°F at 36% implied probability for Buckley Space Force Base on April 15, closely trailed by 64-65°F (26.5%) and 68-69°F (24.5%), reflecting tight scientific uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts amid a weak upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air, increased cloudiness, and showers likely after 3 p.m. that could cap peak heating near 60°F per official guidance. However, ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models suggest potential afternoon cloud breaks enabling 2-4°F higher maxima via enhanced solar insolation, with north winds aiding boundary-layer mixing. Key differentiators include convective timing versus diurnal heating cycle and exact moisture advection; watch hourly Buckley observations against the 61°F climatological normal for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$22,859Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 66-67°F at 36% implied probability for Buckley Space Force Base on April 15, closely trailed by 64-65°F (26.5%) and 68-69°F (24.5%), reflecting tight scientific uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts amid a weak upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air, increased cloudiness, and showers likely after 3 p.m. that could cap peak heating near 60°F per official guidance. However, ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models suggest potential afternoon cloud breaks enabling 2-4°F higher maxima via enhanced solar insolation, with north winds aiding boundary-layer mixing. Key differentiators include convective timing versus diurnal heating cycle and exact moisture advection; watch hourly Buckley observations against the 61°F climatological normal for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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