Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 at 18-20°C, aligning with trader-implied probabilities led by 19°C (29.5%), 18°C (25%), and 20°C (20.5%), amid springtime variability in the East Asian monsoon transition. This tight clustering stems from mild southerly winds fostering daytime heating, tempered by persistent cloud cover and 50-70% chances of light rain or showers in recent China Meteorological Administration updates, which cap solar insolation and differentiate outcomes—drier scenarios boost toward 20°C+ while precipitation favors 18°C. Historical mid-April averages hover near 19°C with a 2-3°C standard deviation, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty; overnight model refreshes and tomorrow's observations will sharpen resolution based on official station measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 16?
19°C 29%
18°C 25%
20°C 21%
17°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
11%
18°C
25%
19°C
29%
20°C
21%
21°C
10%
22°C or higher
5%
19°C 29%
18°C 25%
20°C 21%
17°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
12°C or below
$1,147 Объем
<1%
13°C
$1,313 Объем
<1%
14°C
$1,255 Объем
<1%
15°C
$282 Объем
2%
16°C
$220 Объем
3%
17°C
$169 Объем
11%
18°C
$95 Объем
25%
19°C
$72 Объем
29%
20°C
$110 Объем
21%
21°C
$84 Объем
10%
22°C or higher
$404 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 at 18-20°C, aligning with trader-implied probabilities led by 19°C (29.5%), 18°C (25%), and 20°C (20.5%), amid springtime variability in the East Asian monsoon transition. This tight clustering stems from mild southerly winds fostering daytime heating, tempered by persistent cloud cover and 50-70% chances of light rain or showers in recent China Meteorological Administration updates, which cap solar insolation and differentiate outcomes—drier scenarios boost toward 20°C+ while precipitation favors 18°C. Historical mid-April averages hover near 19°C with a 2-3°C standard deviation, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty; overnight model refreshes and tomorrow's observations will sharpen resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Объем
$5,084Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 at 18-20°C, aligning with trader-implied probabilities led by 19°C (29.5%), 18°C (25%), and 20°C (20.5%), amid springtime variability in the East Asian monsoon transition. This tight clustering stems from mild southerly winds fostering daytime heating, tempered by persistent cloud cover and 50-70% chances of light rain or showers in recent China Meteorological Administration updates, which cap solar insolation and differentiate outcomes—drier scenarios boost toward 20°C+ while precipitation favors 18°C. Historical mid-April averages hover near 19°C with a 2-3°C standard deviation, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty; overnight model refreshes and tomorrow's observations will sharpen resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$5,084Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 at 18-20°C, aligning with trader-implied probabilities led by 19°C (29.5%), 18°C (25%), and 20°C (20.5%), amid springtime variability in the East Asian monsoon transition. This tight clustering stems from mild southerly winds fostering daytime heating, tempered by persistent cloud cover and 50-70% chances of light rain or showers in recent China Meteorological Administration updates, which cap solar insolation and differentiate outcomes—drier scenarios boost toward 20°C+ while precipitation favors 18°C. Historical mid-April averages hover near 19°C with a 2-3°C standard deviation, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty; overnight model refreshes and tomorrow's observations will sharpen resolution based on official station measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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