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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?

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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?

29°C 49%

30°C or higher 45%

28°C 5.2%

26°C <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$90,686 Объем

29°C 49%

30°C or higher 45%

28°C 5.2%

26°C <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$90,686 Объем

20°C or below

$3,482 Объем

<1%

21°C

$1,965 Объем

<1%

22°C

$2,036 Объем

<1%

23°C

$2,980 Объем

<1%

24°C

$2,476 Объем

<1%

25°C

$7,982 Объем

<1%

26°C

$24,914 Объем

<1%

27°C

$20,045 Объем

<1%

28°C

$10,502 Объем

5%

29°C

$5,502 Объем

49%

30°C or higher

$8,803 Объем

45%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's early morning forecast update on April 15 projects a daytime high of 29°C amid sunny periods, driven by a southerly airstream ushering warm moist air and an anticyclone aloft promoting subsidence for clear skies over the Guangdong coast. This caps trader consensus at near-even market-implied odds of 48.5% for 29°C versus 48% for 30°C or higher, highlighting uncertainty in peak afternoon heating where just 1°C separates outcomes. Differentiating factors include solar insolation intensity under sunnier conditions potentially pushing past 30°C, countered by 65-90% humidity dampening temperatures; historical April highs average lower but align with this year's above-normal seasonal outlook. Hourly observations will refine probabilities as the day progresses.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$90,686
Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's early morning forecast update on April 15 projects a daytime high of 29°C amid sunny periods, driven by a southerly airstream ushering warm moist air and an anticyclone aloft promoting subsidence for clear skies over the Guangdong coast. This caps trader consensus at near-even market-implied odds of 48.5% for 29°C versus 48% for 30°C or higher, highlighting uncertainty in peak afternoon heating where just 1°C separates outcomes. Differentiating factors include solar insolation intensity under sunnier conditions potentially pushing past 30°C, countered by 65-90% humidity dampening temperatures; historical April highs average lower but align with this year's above-normal seasonal outlook. Hourly observations will refine probabilities as the day progresses.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$90,686
Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «29°C» с 49%, за ним следует «30°C or higher» с 46%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 49¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $90.7K с момента запуска рынка Apr 13, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?» — «29°C» с 49%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30°C or higher» с 46%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.