Latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Moscow's highest temperature on April 16 between 11°C and 15°C, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched probabilities for these outcomes amid overcast skies and light winds limiting solar insolation. Persistent cloud cover from a cool air mass over European Russia, combined with possible early sprinkles, caps daytime heating, while ensemble spreads arise from varying predictions on afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with mid-April climatology (average high ~12°C) and recent cloudy days around 12°C. Inherent short-term uncertainty persists until observational data from official stations like Vnukovo emerges tomorrow, potentially tipping the balance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on April 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 16?
13°C 35%
14°C 17%
11°C 16.8%
12°C 15%
8°C or below
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
12%
11°C
17%
12°C
15%
13°C
29%
14°C
17%
15°C
15%
16°C
8%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
3%
13°C 35%
14°C 17%
11°C 16.8%
12°C 15%
8°C or below
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
12%
11°C
17%
12°C
15%
13°C
29%
14°C
17%
15°C
15%
16°C
8%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Moscow's highest temperature on April 16 between 11°C and 15°C, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched probabilities for these outcomes amid overcast skies and light winds limiting solar insolation. Persistent cloud cover from a cool air mass over European Russia, combined with possible early sprinkles, caps daytime heating, while ensemble spreads arise from varying predictions on afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with mid-April climatology (average high ~12°C) and recent cloudy days around 12°C. Inherent short-term uncertainty persists until observational data from official stations like Vnukovo emerges tomorrow, potentially tipping the balance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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