Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, alongside Russian Hydrometeorological Centre guidance, peg Moscow's April 15 high temperature at 12–13°C, driving the tight trader consensus between these outcomes amid overcast skies and scattered showers forecast throughout the day. Yesterday's observed peak of 13.5°C at midday, under light northerly winds and low humidity, has moderated slightly due to a passing frontal system advecting cooler continental air masses, suppressing solar insolation via persistent cloud cover—a key differentiator as minor clearing could push toward 13°C, while heavier precipitation favors 12°C or below. Historical April 15 averages hover near 11°C, but current mild setup reflects springtime variability; real-time observations from Moscow's VVC station will clarify resolution by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on April 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 15?
13°C 39%
12°C 38%
11°C 14%
14°C 6.6%
$28,999 Объем
$28,999 Объем
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
5%
11°C
14%
12°C
30%
13°C
39%
14°C
7%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 39%
12°C 38%
11°C 14%
14°C 6.6%
$28,999 Объем
$28,999 Объем
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
5%
11°C
14%
12°C
30%
13°C
39%
14°C
7%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, alongside Russian Hydrometeorological Centre guidance, peg Moscow's April 15 high temperature at 12–13°C, driving the tight trader consensus between these outcomes amid overcast skies and scattered showers forecast throughout the day. Yesterday's observed peak of 13.5°C at midday, under light northerly winds and low humidity, has moderated slightly due to a passing frontal system advecting cooler continental air masses, suppressing solar insolation via persistent cloud cover—a key differentiator as minor clearing could push toward 13°C, while heavier precipitation favors 12°C or below. Historical April 15 averages hover near 11°C, but current mild setup reflects springtime variability; real-time observations from Moscow's VVC station will clarify resolution by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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