Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Helsinki's April 16 high temperature, with implied odds favoring 13°C or higher at 33.5% amid a flat distribution peaking at 9–13°C, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecast projecting a 9°C peak around 15:00 under partly cloudy skies, moderate 5 m/s northerly winds (gusts to 9 m/s), and low 20% precipitation risk. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models introduce variability, as southerly airflow could boost diurnal heating to 12–13°C if high-pressure ridging persists, while increased cloudiness or frontal incursions might cap it at 9–10°C. Mid-April climatology averages 8–10°C highs with significant day-to-day fluctuations; new FMI updates and overnight model runs could sharpen odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 16?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 16?
13°C or higher 33%
12°C 23%
11°C 16%
9°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
3°C or below
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
3%
9°C
16%
10°C
11%
11°C
16%
12°C
24%
13°C or higher
33%
13°C or higher 33%
12°C 23%
11°C 16%
9°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
3°C or below
$202 Объем
1%
4°C
$216 Объем
1%
5°C
$104 Объем
1%
6°C
$120 Объем
3%
7°C
$116 Объем
3%
8°C
$77 Объем
3%
9°C
$98 Объем
16%
10°C
$50 Объем
11%
11°C
$26 Объем
16%
12°C
$26 Объем
24%
13°C or higher
$24 Объем
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Helsinki's April 16 high temperature, with implied odds favoring 13°C or higher at 33.5% amid a flat distribution peaking at 9–13°C, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecast projecting a 9°C peak around 15:00 under partly cloudy skies, moderate 5 m/s northerly winds (gusts to 9 m/s), and low 20% precipitation risk. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models introduce variability, as southerly airflow could boost diurnal heating to 12–13°C if high-pressure ridging persists, while increased cloudiness or frontal incursions might cap it at 9–10°C. Mid-April climatology averages 8–10°C highs with significant day-to-day fluctuations; new FMI updates and overnight model runs could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Объем
$1,053Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Helsinki's April 16 high temperature, with implied odds favoring 13°C or higher at 33.5% amid a flat distribution peaking at 9–13°C, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecast projecting a 9°C peak around 15:00 under partly cloudy skies, moderate 5 m/s northerly winds (gusts to 9 m/s), and low 20% precipitation risk. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models introduce variability, as southerly airflow could boost diurnal heating to 12–13°C if high-pressure ridging persists, while increased cloudiness or frontal incursions might cap it at 9–10°C. Mid-April climatology averages 8–10°C highs with significant day-to-day fluctuations; new FMI updates and overnight model runs could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,053Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Helsinki's April 16 high temperature, with implied odds favoring 13°C or higher at 33.5% amid a flat distribution peaking at 9–13°C, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecast projecting a 9°C peak around 15:00 under partly cloudy skies, moderate 5 m/s northerly winds (gusts to 9 m/s), and low 20% precipitation risk. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models introduce variability, as southerly airflow could boost diurnal heating to 12–13°C if high-pressure ridging persists, while increased cloudiness or frontal incursions might cap it at 9–10°C. Mid-April climatology averages 8–10°C highs with significant day-to-day fluctuations; new FMI updates and overnight model runs could sharpen odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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