Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects a stark bimodal split in forecast model ensembles for London's highest temperature on April 16, with 50% implied probability for ≤12°C under scenarios of persistent cloud, showers, and northerly winds from a deepening Atlantic trough, versus 50% for ≥22°C if a high-pressure ridge builds southward, advecting warmer continental air. Met Office guidance as of April 14 centers on a mild 16°C maximum amid light showers and southwesterly gusts up to 25 mph, following early April's record 26.6°C heatwave and subsequent cooldown from Storm Dave remnants. Ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs highlights jet stream uncertainty at the 48-hour horizon, with new 12Z updates expected to sharpen consensus before resolution at official Heathrow observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on April 16?
Highest temperature in London on April 16?
17°C 39%
16°C 26%
18°C 23%
15°C 10.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
11%
16°C
26%
17°C
39%
18°C
23%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 39%
16°C 26%
18°C 23%
15°C 10.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
12°C or below
$283 Объем
<1%
13°C
$381 Объем
<1%
14°C
$227 Объем
4%
15°C
$252 Объем
11%
16°C
$224 Объем
26%
17°C
$356 Объем
39%
18°C
$273 Объем
23%
19°C
$226 Объем
3%
20°C
$147 Объем
2%
21°C
$260 Объем
<1%
22°C or higher
$275 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects a stark bimodal split in forecast model ensembles for London's highest temperature on April 16, with 50% implied probability for ≤12°C under scenarios of persistent cloud, showers, and northerly winds from a deepening Atlantic trough, versus 50% for ≥22°C if a high-pressure ridge builds southward, advecting warmer continental air. Met Office guidance as of April 14 centers on a mild 16°C maximum amid light showers and southwesterly gusts up to 25 mph, following early April's record 26.6°C heatwave and subsequent cooldown from Storm Dave remnants. Ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs highlights jet stream uncertainty at the 48-hour horizon, with new 12Z updates expected to sharpen consensus before resolution at official Heathrow observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Объем
$2,895Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects a stark bimodal split in forecast model ensembles for London's highest temperature on April 16, with 50% implied probability for ≤12°C under scenarios of persistent cloud, showers, and northerly winds from a deepening Atlantic trough, versus 50% for ≥22°C if a high-pressure ridge builds southward, advecting warmer continental air. Met Office guidance as of April 14 centers on a mild 16°C maximum amid light showers and southwesterly gusts up to 25 mph, following early April's record 26.6°C heatwave and subsequent cooldown from Storm Dave remnants. Ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs highlights jet stream uncertainty at the 48-hour horizon, with new 12Z updates expected to sharpen consensus before resolution at official Heathrow observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,895Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects a stark bimodal split in forecast model ensembles for London's highest temperature on April 16, with 50% implied probability for ≤12°C under scenarios of persistent cloud, showers, and northerly winds from a deepening Atlantic trough, versus 50% for ≥22°C if a high-pressure ridge builds southward, advecting warmer continental air. Met Office guidance as of April 14 centers on a mild 16°C maximum amid light showers and southwesterly gusts up to 25 mph, following early April's record 26.6°C heatwave and subsequent cooldown from Storm Dave remnants. Ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs highlights jet stream uncertainty at the 48-hour horizon, with new 12Z updates expected to sharpen consensus before resolution at official Heathrow observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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