Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and global ensemble models project Busan's highest temperature on April 17 around 17-19°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, driving trader consensus to price 19°C or higher at 35.5% implied probability amid genuine spring uncertainty. Recent observations reflect volatility, with early-April warmth exceeding 22°C on April 15 yielding to cooler 12-16°C readings by April 15 due to transient northerly cold air intrusions and increased cloud cover. Mid-April climatology favors highs near 18°C on average, but model divergences over sea breeze effects and frontal passages create spread. Updated KMA bulletins and ECMWF runs expected April 16 could shift odds as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Busan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 17?
19°C or higher 47%
17°C 22%
18°C 18%
16°C 10%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
22%
18°C
18%
19°C or higher
36%
19°C or higher 47%
17°C 22%
18°C 18%
16°C 10%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
22%
18°C
18%
19°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and global ensemble models project Busan's highest temperature on April 17 around 17-19°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, driving trader consensus to price 19°C or higher at 35.5% implied probability amid genuine spring uncertainty. Recent observations reflect volatility, with early-April warmth exceeding 22°C on April 15 yielding to cooler 12-16°C readings by April 15 due to transient northerly cold air intrusions and increased cloud cover. Mid-April climatology favors highs near 18°C on average, but model divergences over sea breeze effects and frontal passages create spread. Updated KMA bulletins and ECMWF runs expected April 16 could shift odds as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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