Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Moscow show a broad spread in projected highest temperatures on April 17, with modal values clustering around 13°C—aligning with the market's leading 32% implied probability—due to an incoming warm air mass from the south amid transitional spring patterns. April 2026 has trended warmer than the 6.9°C monthly normal, averaging 8.5°C so far, with recent advisories from Russian forecasters like Tsygankov noting potential highs near 15°C next week but unstable conditions including showers and gusty winds. Key variables tipping outcomes include cloud cover limiting solar heating for lower temps (11-12°C), persistent southerly flow boosting to 15-17°C, or cold snaps reinforcing below 10°C rarity; new model runs expected within 24 hours could sharpen trader sentiment on this high-uncertainty resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
13°C 31%
16°C 24%
12°C 22%
11°C 21%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
7°C or below
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
3%
10°C
5%
11°C
21%
12°C
22%
13°C
31%
14°C
19%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C or higher
17%
13°C 31%
16°C 24%
12°C 22%
11°C 21%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
7°C or below
$325 Объем
1%
8°C
$16 Объем
3%
9°C
$0 Объем
3%
10°C
$0 Объем
5%
11°C
$0 Объем
21%
12°C
$0 Объем
22%
13°C
$10 Объем
31%
14°C
$0 Объем
19%
15°C
$4 Объем
18%
16°C
$10 Объем
18%
17°C or higher
$6 Объем
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Moscow show a broad spread in projected highest temperatures on April 17, with modal values clustering around 13°C—aligning with the market's leading 32% implied probability—due to an incoming warm air mass from the south amid transitional spring patterns. April 2026 has trended warmer than the 6.9°C monthly normal, averaging 8.5°C so far, with recent advisories from Russian forecasters like Tsygankov noting potential highs near 15°C next week but unstable conditions including showers and gusty winds. Key variables tipping outcomes include cloud cover limiting solar heating for lower temps (11-12°C), persistent southerly flow boosting to 15-17°C, or cold snaps reinforcing below 10°C rarity; new model runs expected within 24 hours could sharpen trader sentiment on this high-uncertainty resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$357Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Moscow show a broad spread in projected highest temperatures on April 17, with modal values clustering around 13°C—aligning with the market's leading 32% implied probability—due to an incoming warm air mass from the south amid transitional spring patterns. April 2026 has trended warmer than the 6.9°C monthly normal, averaging 8.5°C so far, with recent advisories from Russian forecasters like Tsygankov noting potential highs near 15°C next week but unstable conditions including showers and gusty winds. Key variables tipping outcomes include cloud cover limiting solar heating for lower temps (11-12°C), persistent southerly flow boosting to 15-17°C, or cold snaps reinforcing below 10°C rarity; new model runs expected within 24 hours could sharpen trader sentiment on this high-uncertainty resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$357Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Moscow show a broad spread in projected highest temperatures on April 17, with modal values clustering around 13°C—aligning with the market's leading 32% implied probability—due to an incoming warm air mass from the south amid transitional spring patterns. April 2026 has trended warmer than the 6.9°C monthly normal, averaging 8.5°C so far, with recent advisories from Russian forecasters like Tsygankov noting potential highs near 15°C next week but unstable conditions including showers and gusty winds. Key variables tipping outcomes include cloud cover limiting solar heating for lower temps (11-12°C), persistent southerly flow boosting to 15-17°C, or cold snaps reinforcing below 10°C rarity; new model runs expected within 24 hours could sharpen trader sentiment on this high-uncertainty resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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