Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability in Chengdu today, closely followed by 25°C (29.5%) and 23°C (23.0%), reflecting strong alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime peak near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds. This positioning stems from recent overnight forecast updates showing refined model consensus in the mid-20s range, bolstered by typical mid-April conditions in the Sichuan Basin—where subsidence and solar heating drive highs above the 22°C monthly average—tempered by cloud cover limiting further intensification. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon cloud evolution and precipitation; monitor hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for resolution-defining observations, with new CMA bulletins expected later today.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 15 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 15 апреля?
24°C 42%
25°C 28%
23°C 24%
22°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$41,278 Объем
НОВОЕ
$41,278 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
24%
24°C
42%
25°C
28%
26°C
4%
27°C или выше
1%
24°C 42%
25°C 28%
23°C 24%
22°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$41,278 Объем
НОВОЕ
$41,278 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$8,448 Объем
<1%
18°C
$2,313 Объем
<1%
19°C
$3,163 Объем
<1%
20°C
$3,533 Объем
1%
21°C
$3,577 Объем
1%
22°C
$3,178 Объем
8%
23°C
$2,515 Объем
24%
24°C
$1,416 Объем
42%
25°C
$2,349 Объем
28%
26°C
$6,238 Объем
4%
27°C или выше
$5,177 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability in Chengdu today, closely followed by 25°C (29.5%) and 23°C (23.0%), reflecting strong alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime peak near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds. This positioning stems from recent overnight forecast updates showing refined model consensus in the mid-20s range, bolstered by typical mid-April conditions in the Sichuan Basin—where subsidence and solar heating drive highs above the 22°C monthly average—tempered by cloud cover limiting further intensification. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon cloud evolution and precipitation; monitor hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for resolution-defining observations, with new CMA bulletins expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$41,278Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability in Chengdu today, closely followed by 25°C (29.5%) and 23°C (23.0%), reflecting strong alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime peak near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds. This positioning stems from recent overnight forecast updates showing refined model consensus in the mid-20s range, bolstered by typical mid-April conditions in the Sichuan Basin—where subsidence and solar heating drive highs above the 22°C monthly average—tempered by cloud cover limiting further intensification. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon cloud evolution and precipitation; monitor hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for resolution-defining observations, with new CMA bulletins expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$41,278Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability in Chengdu today, closely followed by 25°C (29.5%) and 23°C (23.0%), reflecting strong alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime peak near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds. This positioning stems from recent overnight forecast updates showing refined model consensus in the mid-20s range, bolstered by typical mid-April conditions in the Sichuan Basin—where subsidence and solar heating drive highs above the 22°C monthly average—tempered by cloud cover limiting further intensification. Key uncertainty lies in afternoon cloud evolution and precipitation; monitor hourly data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for resolution-defining observations, with new CMA bulletins expected later today.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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