Latest forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, as reflected in sources like AccuWeather, project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 12 at around 14°C under periods of clouds and sunshine, driving trader consensus to 44.5% implied probability for that outcome and 29.5% for 15°C or higher. Yesterday's observed high of 12°C amid northerly winds and frost risks aligns with IMGW's synoptic guidance of 12°C maximum, yet international models show slight warming from a modest ridge aloft, tempering cooler bets below 13°C. Spring climatology supports mid-April highs averaging 13°C, with low precipitation risk; uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and afternoon heating, with IMGW updates expected today ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 12?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 12?
14°C 44%
15°C or higher 31%
13°C 21%
12°C 6.5%
$28,120 Объем
$28,120 Объем
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
21%
14°C
44%
15°C or higher
31%
14°C 44%
15°C or higher 31%
13°C 21%
12°C 6.5%
$28,120 Объем
$28,120 Объем
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
21%
14°C
44%
15°C or higher
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, as reflected in sources like AccuWeather, project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 12 at around 14°C under periods of clouds and sunshine, driving trader consensus to 44.5% implied probability for that outcome and 29.5% for 15°C or higher. Yesterday's observed high of 12°C amid northerly winds and frost risks aligns with IMGW's synoptic guidance of 12°C maximum, yet international models show slight warming from a modest ridge aloft, tempering cooler bets below 13°C. Spring climatology supports mid-April highs averaging 13°C, with low precipitation risk; uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and afternoon heating, with IMGW updates expected today ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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