Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 13 clustering tightly around 13–15°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 14°C at 36.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 15°C and 13°C. This positioning stems from model agreement on a transitional weather pattern featuring weak high-pressure influence and variable cloud cover, with subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon solar insolation tipping outcomes between these values—clearer skies could push toward 15°C, while increased low-level moisture favors 13–14°C. Mid-April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 13.1°C per IMGW data. New 12-hourly model updates and Saturday observations will refine uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 13?
14°C 39%
13°C 27%
15°C 23%
16°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 апр. 2026 г.
8°C or below
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
27%
14°C
39%
15°C
23%
16°C
10%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 39%
13°C 27%
15°C 23%
16°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 апр. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$1,055 Объем
1%
9°C
$712 Объем
<1%
10°C
$454 Объем
1%
11°C
$592 Объем
2%
12°C
$1,162 Объем
5%
13°C
$758 Объем
27%
14°C
$963 Объем
39%
15°C
$830 Объем
23%
16°C
$507 Объем
10%
17°C
$589 Объем
3%
18°C or higher
$474 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 13 clustering tightly around 13–15°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 14°C at 36.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 15°C and 13°C. This positioning stems from model agreement on a transitional weather pattern featuring weak high-pressure influence and variable cloud cover, with subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon solar insolation tipping outcomes between these values—clearer skies could push toward 15°C, while increased low-level moisture favors 13–14°C. Mid-April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 13.1°C per IMGW data. New 12-hourly model updates and Saturday observations will refine uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Объем
$8,088Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 13 clustering tightly around 13–15°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 14°C at 36.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 15°C and 13°C. This positioning stems from model agreement on a transitional weather pattern featuring weak high-pressure influence and variable cloud cover, with subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon solar insolation tipping outcomes between these values—clearer skies could push toward 15°C, while increased low-level moisture favors 13–14°C. Mid-April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 13.1°C per IMGW data. New 12-hourly model updates and Saturday observations will refine uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$8,088Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 13 clustering tightly around 13–15°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 14°C at 36.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 15°C and 13°C. This positioning stems from model agreement on a transitional weather pattern featuring weak high-pressure influence and variable cloud cover, with subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon solar insolation tipping outcomes between these values—clearer skies could push toward 15°C, while increased low-level moisture favors 13–14°C. Mid-April climatology supports this range, with historical highs averaging 13.1°C per IMGW data. New 12-hourly model updates and Saturday observations will refine uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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