MetService's latest forecast, updated April 15, centers Wellington's April 17 high temperature at 18°C under northwesterlies and fine conditions turning to morning showers, anchoring trader consensus with 41% implied probability versus 33% for 19°C. These closely matched odds reflect short-range forecast uncertainty in cloud cover timing—early clearing could boost solar heating for a 19°C peak, while persistent showers limit it to 18°C amid mild air advection from the north. April norms hover at 16–17°C, making this slightly above average, but inherent variability in boundary layer mixing and insolation demands monitoring overnight model updates from NIWA and MetService for refined guidance ahead of resolution via Wellington Airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
18°C 37%
19°C 31%
17°C 20%
20°C 9%
НОВОЕ
$10,643 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,643 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
20%
18°C
37%
19°C
31%
20°C
9%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 37%
19°C 31%
17°C 20%
20°C 9%
НОВОЕ
$10,643 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,643 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
11°C or below
$1,633 Объем
<1%
12°C
$754 Объем
<1%
13°C
$3,074 Объем
<1%
14°C
$3,529 Объем
1%
15°C
$215 Объем
2%
16°C
$222 Объем
5%
17°C
$191 Объем
20%
18°C
$233 Объем
37%
19°C
$290 Объем
31%
20°C
$110 Объем
9%
21°C or higher
$392 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, updated April 15, centers Wellington's April 17 high temperature at 18°C under northwesterlies and fine conditions turning to morning showers, anchoring trader consensus with 41% implied probability versus 33% for 19°C. These closely matched odds reflect short-range forecast uncertainty in cloud cover timing—early clearing could boost solar heating for a 19°C peak, while persistent showers limit it to 18°C amid mild air advection from the north. April norms hover at 16–17°C, making this slightly above average, but inherent variability in boundary layer mixing and insolation demands monitoring overnight model updates from NIWA and MetService for refined guidance ahead of resolution via Wellington Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$10,643Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, updated April 15, centers Wellington's April 17 high temperature at 18°C under northwesterlies and fine conditions turning to morning showers, anchoring trader consensus with 41% implied probability versus 33% for 19°C. These closely matched odds reflect short-range forecast uncertainty in cloud cover timing—early clearing could boost solar heating for a 19°C peak, while persistent showers limit it to 18°C amid mild air advection from the north. April norms hover at 16–17°C, making this slightly above average, but inherent variability in boundary layer mixing and insolation demands monitoring overnight model updates from NIWA and MetService for refined guidance ahead of resolution via Wellington Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$10,643Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, updated April 15, centers Wellington's April 17 high temperature at 18°C under northwesterlies and fine conditions turning to morning showers, anchoring trader consensus with 41% implied probability versus 33% for 19°C. These closely matched odds reflect short-range forecast uncertainty in cloud cover timing—early clearing could boost solar heating for a 19°C peak, while persistent showers limit it to 18°C amid mild air advection from the north. April norms hover at 16–17°C, making this slightly above average, but inherent variability in boundary layer mixing and insolation demands monitoring overnight model updates from NIWA and MetService for refined guidance ahead of resolution via Wellington Airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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