MetService's latest forecast indicates a maximum temperature of 17°C at Wellington on April 16 under conditions of early morning rain clearing to fine weather with strong westerlies, potentially capping highs after today's projected 18°C amid northerly flows. However, trader consensus—reflected in 42.5% implied probability for 18°C—draws from recent observational data showing yesterday's 17.1°C peak at Kelburn station and persistent mild autumn patterns, with Wellington International Airport (NZWN) readings often varying due to coastal exposure and wind shear effects. Lower odds for 19°C (14%) and below highlight model uncertainty in short-range predictions, as ensemble guidance diverges amid post-Cyclone Vaianu settling. Hourly airport observations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 16 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 16 апреля?
18°C 42%
17°C 18%
19°C 15%
16°C 11.9%
$14,684 Объем
$14,684 Объем
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
18%
18°C
42%
19°C
15%
20°C
3%
21°C или выше
2%
18°C 42%
17°C 18%
19°C 15%
16°C 11.9%
$14,684 Объем
$14,684 Объем
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
18%
18°C
42%
19°C
15%
20°C
3%
21°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast indicates a maximum temperature of 17°C at Wellington on April 16 under conditions of early morning rain clearing to fine weather with strong westerlies, potentially capping highs after today's projected 18°C amid northerly flows. However, trader consensus—reflected in 42.5% implied probability for 18°C—draws from recent observational data showing yesterday's 17.1°C peak at Kelburn station and persistent mild autumn patterns, with Wellington International Airport (NZWN) readings often varying due to coastal exposure and wind shear effects. Lower odds for 19°C (14%) and below highlight model uncertainty in short-range predictions, as ensemble guidance diverges amid post-Cyclone Vaianu settling. Hourly airport observations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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