Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate a tight cluster of daytime highs around 22–23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 13, fueling trader sentiment with 22°C and 23°C each implying over 30% probabilities amid model spread reflecting uncertain cloud cover and solar insolation. Recent showers and cloudy conditions over central China have capped highs near 20–22°C in the past week, differentiating lower outcomes like 21°C while warmer analogs emerge if clearer skies prevail. Mid-April climatology averages 22°C highs, with frontal timing as the key variable; updated short-range guidance on April 12 will likely sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 13?
22°C 32%
23°C 23%
21°C 17%
24°C 14%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
17%
22°C
32%
23°C
23%
24°C
14%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 32%
23°C 23%
21°C 17%
24°C 14%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
17%
22°C
32%
23°C
23%
24°C
14%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate a tight cluster of daytime highs around 22–23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 13, fueling trader sentiment with 22°C and 23°C each implying over 30% probabilities amid model spread reflecting uncertain cloud cover and solar insolation. Recent showers and cloudy conditions over central China have capped highs near 20–22°C in the past week, differentiating lower outcomes like 21°C while warmer analogs emerge if clearer skies prevail. Mid-April climatology averages 22°C highs, with frontal timing as the key variable; updated short-range guidance on April 12 will likely sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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