Republicans currently hold 26 governorships against 24 for Democrats entering the 2026 cycle, with 36 states holding elections and an even split of 18 seats defended by each party. Term limits and retirements have created numerous open races in states such as Alabama, Alaska, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Oklahoma, shifting focus to candidate quality, primary outcomes, and local issues like affordability and state budgets. Recent polling averages and forecaster ratings highlight competitive contests in Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Kansas, where Democratic pickups appear plausible, while Republican defenses in New Hampshire and Vermont remain narrower targets. Trader consensus around a modest net decline to the low-to-mid 20s reflects these battleground dynamics and the absence of a clear national wave favoring either side six weeks before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено22–23 35%
24–25 22%
<22 21%
26–27 18%
$696,542 Объем
$696,542 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<22
21%
22–23
35%
24–25
22%
26–27
18%
28–29
4%
30–31
1%
32+
1%
22–23 35%
24–25 22%
<22 21%
26–27 18%
$696,542 Объем
$696,542 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<22
$50,209 Объем
21%
22–23
$10,597 Объем
35%
24–25
$34,717 Объем
22%
26–27
$18,266 Объем
18%
28–29
$558,246 Объем
4%
30–31
$8,633 Объем
1%
32+
$15,875 Объем
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships against 24 for Democrats entering the 2026 cycle, with 36 states holding elections and an even split of 18 seats defended by each party. Term limits and retirements have created numerous open races in states such as Alabama, Alaska, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Oklahoma, shifting focus to candidate quality, primary outcomes, and local issues like affordability and state budgets. Recent polling averages and forecaster ratings highlight competitive contests in Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Kansas, where Democratic pickups appear plausible, while Republican defenses in New Hampshire and Vermont remain narrower targets. Trader consensus around a modest net decline to the low-to-mid 20s reflects these battleground dynamics and the absence of a clear national wave favoring either side six weeks before voting.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Объем
$696,542Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2f5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships against 24 for Democrats entering the 2026 cycle, with 36 states holding elections and an even split of 18 seats defended by each party. Term limits and retirements have created numerous open races in states such as Alabama, Alaska, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Oklahoma, shifting focus to candidate quality, primary outcomes, and local issues like affordability and state budgets. Recent polling averages and forecaster ratings highlight competitive contests in Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Kansas, where Democratic pickups appear plausible, while Republican defenses in New Hampshire and Vermont remain narrower targets. Trader consensus around a modest net decline to the low-to-mid 20s reflects these battleground dynamics and the absence of a clear national wave favoring either side six weeks before voting.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$696,542Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2f5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships against 24 for Democrats entering the 2026 cycle, with 36 states holding elections and an even split of 18 seats defended by each party. Term limits and retirements have created numerous open races in states such as Alabama, Alaska, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Oklahoma, shifting focus to candidate quality, primary outcomes, and local issues like affordability and state budgets. Recent polling averages and forecaster ratings highlight competitive contests in Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Kansas, where Democratic pickups appear plausible, while Republican defenses in New Hampshire and Vermont remain narrower targets. Trader consensus around a modest net decline to the low-to-mid 20s reflects these battleground dynamics and the absence of a clear national wave favoring either side six weeks before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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