President-elect Donald Trump praised Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on December 18 for a 25-basis-point interest rate cut, posting on Truth Social that he "did the right thing" and reiterating no plans to fire him before his May 2026 term end. This follows earlier Trump threats to pursue legal action against the Fed over prolonged high rates hindering economic growth, amid statutory protections limiting removal to cause. Traders gauge trader consensus on whether Trump will formally drop such investigation rhetoric by the market's deadline, watching inauguration on January 20 and the next FOMC meeting January 28-29 for signals on Fed independence, potential executive actions, or successor planning for Board vacancies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоТрамп прекращает расследование Пауэлла на...?
Трамп прекращает расследование Пауэлла на...?
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
April 30
34%
30 июня
52%
$2,665 Объем
April 30
$1,434 Объем
34%
30 июня
$1,231 Объем
52%
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump praised Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on December 18 for a 25-basis-point interest rate cut, posting on Truth Social that he "did the right thing" and reiterating no plans to fire him before his May 2026 term end. This follows earlier Trump threats to pursue legal action against the Fed over prolonged high rates hindering economic growth, amid statutory protections limiting removal to cause. Traders gauge trader consensus on whether Trump will formally drop such investigation rhetoric by the market's deadline, watching inauguration on January 20 and the next FOMC meeting January 28-29 for signals on Fed independence, potential executive actions, or successor planning for Board vacancies.
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Объем
$2,665Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump praised Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on December 18 for a 25-basis-point interest rate cut, posting on Truth Social that he "did the right thing" and reiterating no plans to fire him before his May 2026 term end. This follows earlier Trump threats to pursue legal action against the Fed over prolonged high rates hindering economic growth, amid statutory protections limiting removal to cause. Traders gauge trader consensus on whether Trump will formally drop such investigation rhetoric by the market's deadline, watching inauguration on January 20 and the next FOMC meeting January 28-29 for signals on Fed independence, potential executive actions, or successor planning for Board vacancies.
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,665Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump praised Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on December 18 for a 25-basis-point interest rate cut, posting on Truth Social that he "did the right thing" and reiterating no plans to fire him before his May 2026 term end. This follows earlier Trump threats to pursue legal action against the Fed over prolonged high rates hindering economic growth, amid statutory protections limiting removal to cause. Traders gauge trader consensus on whether Trump will formally drop such investigation rhetoric by the market's deadline, watching inauguration on January 20 and the next FOMC meeting January 28-29 for signals on Fed independence, potential executive actions, or successor planning for Board vacancies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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