Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for the most 2026 Bolivian governorships between Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 45.5% and Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate) at 39.5%, driven by fragmented first-round results on March 22 that yielded no outright majority party and propelled runoffs in five departments including Santa Cruz, La Paz, Beni, Chuquisaca, Cochabamba, Oruro, and Tarija. LIBRE secured an early edge with a Pando outright win and Santa Cruz lead, bolstered by center-right momentum post-Rodrigo Paz's 2025 presidential victory that marginalized MAS-IPSP to 2.5%. APB Súmate stays close via strong autonomy appeals in competitive runoffs like Cochabamba. Partial tallies from April 13 runoffs, potential vote transfers among similar alliances, and final certifications by the Plurinational Electoral Organ could tip the balance toward separation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner
2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner
Christian Democratic Party (PDC) 43%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP) 2.6%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) 0
Popular Alliance (AP) 0
$981 Hac.
$981 Hac.
22 Mar 2026
Christian Democratic Party (PDC)
23%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)
3%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)
47%
Popular Alliance (AP)
32%
Unity Bloc (UNIDAD)
48%
Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)
35%
Christian Democratic Party (PDC) 43%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP) 2.6%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) 0
Popular Alliance (AP) 0
$981 Hac.
$981 Hac.
22 Mar 2026
Christian Democratic Party (PDC)
$297 Hac.
23%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)
$328 Hac.
3%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)
$147 Hac.
47%
Popular Alliance (AP)
$0 Hac.
32%
Unity Bloc (UNIDAD)
$0 Hac.
48%
Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)
$210 Hac.
35%
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for the most 2026 Bolivian governorships between Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 45.5% and Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate) at 39.5%, driven by fragmented first-round results on March 22 that yielded no outright majority party and propelled runoffs in five departments including Santa Cruz, La Paz, Beni, Chuquisaca, Cochabamba, Oruro, and Tarija. LIBRE secured an early edge with a Pando outright win and Santa Cruz lead, bolstered by center-right momentum post-Rodrigo Paz's 2025 presidential victory that marginalized MAS-IPSP to 2.5%. APB Súmate stays close via strong autonomy appeals in competitive runoffs like Cochabamba. Partial tallies from April 13 runoffs, potential vote transfers among similar alliances, and final certifications by the Plurinational Electoral Organ could tip the balance toward separation.
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Hacim
$981Bitiş Tarihi
22 Mar 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for the most 2026 Bolivian governorships between Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 45.5% and Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate) at 39.5%, driven by fragmented first-round results on March 22 that yielded no outright majority party and propelled runoffs in five departments including Santa Cruz, La Paz, Beni, Chuquisaca, Cochabamba, Oruro, and Tarija. LIBRE secured an early edge with a Pando outright win and Santa Cruz lead, bolstered by center-right momentum post-Rodrigo Paz's 2025 presidential victory that marginalized MAS-IPSP to 2.5%. APB Súmate stays close via strong autonomy appeals in competitive runoffs like Cochabamba. Partial tallies from April 13 runoffs, potential vote transfers among similar alliances, and final certifications by the Plurinational Electoral Organ could tip the balance toward separation.
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Hacim
$981Bitiş Tarihi
22 Mar 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for the most 2026 Bolivian governorships between Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 45.5% and Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate) at 39.5%, driven by fragmented first-round results on March 22 that yielded no outright majority party and propelled runoffs in five departments including Santa Cruz, La Paz, Beni, Chuquisaca, Cochabamba, Oruro, and Tarija. LIBRE secured an early edge with a Pando outright win and Santa Cruz lead, bolstered by center-right momentum post-Rodrigo Paz's 2025 presidential victory that marginalized MAS-IPSP to 2.5%. APB Súmate stays close via strong autonomy appeals in competitive runoffs like Cochabamba. Partial tallies from April 13 runoffs, potential vote transfers among similar alliances, and final certifications by the Plurinational Electoral Organ could tip the balance toward separation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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