Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party of Korea at 96.5% implied probability to secure the most wins in the June 3, 2026 local elections for governors, metropolitan mayors, and council seats, reflecting consistent nationwide polls showing DPK leads of 15-25 points even in PPP strongholds like Busan and Daegu. This commanding position stems from President Lee Jae-myung's 69% approval rating post-Yoon impeachment, DPK party support at 48-51% versus PPP's 17-30% amid internal rifts and candidate shortages, plus recent DPK primaries yielding strong nominees like Choo Mi-ae for Gyeonggi governor. While barring a late scandal, economic shock, or turnout surge favoring conservatives, the wisdom of crowds prices in a DPK sweep akin to historical post-regime change landslides.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2026 Güney Kore Yerel Seçimleri: Parti Kazananı
2026 Güney Kore Yerel Seçimleri: Parti Kazananı
Demokratik Parti (DP) 96.5%
Halkın Gücü Partisi (PPP) 3.1%
İlerici Parti (PP) <1%
Reform Partisi (RP) <1%
$2,235,423 Hac.
$2,235,423 Hac.
3 Haz 2026
Demokratik Parti (DP)
97%
Halkın Gücü Partisi (PPP)
3%
İlerici Parti (PP)
<1%
Reform Partisi (RP)
<1%
Yeniden İnşa Kore Partisi (RKP)
<1%
Demokratik Parti (DP) 96.5%
Halkın Gücü Partisi (PPP) 3.1%
İlerici Parti (PP) <1%
Reform Partisi (RP) <1%
$2,235,423 Hac.
$2,235,423 Hac.
3 Haz 2026
Demokratik Parti (DP)
$475,676 Hac.
97%
Halkın Gücü Partisi (PPP)
$1,039,841 Hac.
3%
İlerici Parti (PP)
$315,902 Hac.
<1%
Reform Partisi (RP)
$150,390 Hac.
<1%
Yeniden İnşa Kore Partisi (RKP)
$253,614 Hac.
<1%
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party of Korea at 96.5% implied probability to secure the most wins in the June 3, 2026 local elections for governors, metropolitan mayors, and council seats, reflecting consistent nationwide polls showing DPK leads of 15-25 points even in PPP strongholds like Busan and Daegu. This commanding position stems from President Lee Jae-myung's 69% approval rating post-Yoon impeachment, DPK party support at 48-51% versus PPP's 17-30% amid internal rifts and candidate shortages, plus recent DPK primaries yielding strong nominees like Choo Mi-ae for Gyeonggi governor. While barring a late scandal, economic shock, or turnout surge favoring conservatives, the wisdom of crowds prices in a DPK sweep akin to historical post-regime change landslides.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 2, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Hacim
$2,235,423Bitiş Tarihi
3 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 2, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party of Korea at 96.5% implied probability to secure the most wins in the June 3, 2026 local elections for governors, metropolitan mayors, and council seats, reflecting consistent nationwide polls showing DPK leads of 15-25 points even in PPP strongholds like Busan and Daegu. This commanding position stems from President Lee Jae-myung's 69% approval rating post-Yoon impeachment, DPK party support at 48-51% versus PPP's 17-30% amid internal rifts and candidate shortages, plus recent DPK primaries yielding strong nominees like Choo Mi-ae for Gyeonggi governor. While barring a late scandal, economic shock, or turnout surge favoring conservatives, the wisdom of crowds prices in a DPK sweep akin to historical post-regime change landslides.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Hacim
$2,235,423Bitiş Tarihi
3 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 2, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party of Korea at 96.5% implied probability to secure the most wins in the June 3, 2026 local elections for governors, metropolitan mayors, and council seats, reflecting consistent nationwide polls showing DPK leads of 15-25 points even in PPP strongholds like Busan and Daegu. This commanding position stems from President Lee Jae-myung's 69% approval rating post-Yoon impeachment, DPK party support at 48-51% versus PPP's 17-30% amid internal rifts and candidate shortages, plus recent DPK primaries yielding strong nominees like Choo Mi-ae for Gyeonggi governor. While barring a late scandal, economic shock, or turnout surge favoring conservatives, the wisdom of crowds prices in a DPK sweep akin to historical post-regime change landslides.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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