Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank of England's Bank Rate at its April 30, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March hold at 3.75% amid sticky CPI inflation holding at 3.0% in February—well above the 2% target—fueled by Middle East conflict-driven energy disruptions. Weak GDP growth forecasts at 0.7% for 2026 further anchor expectations for stability over cuts, while hike odds at 4% stem from potential inflation persistence. Key upcoming catalyst is March 2026 CPI data on April 22; a sharp downside surprise could marginally boost cut probabilities, though geopolitical stabilization remains a low-likelihood challenge to the hold consensus.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİngiltere Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?
İngiltere Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?
Değişiklik yok 95.6%
Artış 4.0%
50+ baz puan düşüş <1%
25 baz puan düşüş <1%
$455,072 Hac.
$455,072 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
50+ baz puan düşüş
<1%
25 baz puan düşüş
<1%
Değişiklik yok
96%
Artış
4%
Değişiklik yok 95.6%
Artış 4.0%
50+ baz puan düşüş <1%
25 baz puan düşüş <1%
$455,072 Hac.
$455,072 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
50+ baz puan düşüş
$76,321 Hac.
<1%
25 baz puan düşüş
$160,233 Hac.
<1%
Değişiklik yok
$113,101 Hac.
96%
Artış
$105,417 Hac.
4%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank of England's Bank Rate at its April 30, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March hold at 3.75% amid sticky CPI inflation holding at 3.0% in February—well above the 2% target—fueled by Middle East conflict-driven energy disruptions. Weak GDP growth forecasts at 0.7% for 2026 further anchor expectations for stability over cuts, while hike odds at 4% stem from potential inflation persistence. Key upcoming catalyst is March 2026 CPI data on April 22; a sharp downside surprise could marginally boost cut probabilities, though geopolitical stabilization remains a low-likelihood challenge to the hold consensus.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
Hacim
$455,072Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank of England's Bank Rate at its April 30, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March hold at 3.75% amid sticky CPI inflation holding at 3.0% in February—well above the 2% target—fueled by Middle East conflict-driven energy disruptions. Weak GDP growth forecasts at 0.7% for 2026 further anchor expectations for stability over cuts, while hike odds at 4% stem from potential inflation persistence. Key upcoming catalyst is March 2026 CPI data on April 22; a sharp downside surprise could marginally boost cut probabilities, though geopolitical stabilization remains a low-likelihood challenge to the hold consensus.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$455,072Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank of England's Bank Rate at its April 30, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March hold at 3.75% amid sticky CPI inflation holding at 3.0% in February—well above the 2% target—fueled by Middle East conflict-driven energy disruptions. Weak GDP growth forecasts at 0.7% for 2026 further anchor expectations for stability over cuts, while hike odds at 4% stem from potential inflation persistence. Key upcoming catalyst is March 2026 CPI data on April 22; a sharp downside surprise could marginally boost cut probabilities, though geopolitical stabilization remains a low-likelihood challenge to the hold consensus.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular