Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.6% implied probability of no change in the Bank of England base rate at the April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 decision to hold at 3.75% amid persistent inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks that lifted February CPI to 3.0%—well above the 2% target—with sticky services inflation adding caution against easing. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores balanced risks of imported inflation versus domestic slowdown signals, aligning with Reuters economist polls favoring a hold. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected March CPI data or escalated geopolitical tensions prompting a 25 basis point hike, though cuts remain negligible absent rapid disinflation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİngiltere Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?
İngiltere Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?
Değişiklik yok 95.2%
Artış 4.0%
50+ baz puan düşüş <1%
25 baz puan düşüş <1%
$455,072 Hac.
$455,072 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
50+ baz puan düşüş
<1%
25 baz puan düşüş
<1%
Değişiklik yok
95%
Artış
4%
Değişiklik yok 95.2%
Artış 4.0%
50+ baz puan düşüş <1%
25 baz puan düşüş <1%
$455,072 Hac.
$455,072 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
50+ baz puan düşüş
$76,321 Hac.
<1%
25 baz puan düşüş
$160,233 Hac.
<1%
Değişiklik yok
$113,277 Hac.
95%
Artış
$105,417 Hac.
4%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.6% implied probability of no change in the Bank of England base rate at the April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 decision to hold at 3.75% amid persistent inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks that lifted February CPI to 3.0%—well above the 2% target—with sticky services inflation adding caution against easing. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores balanced risks of imported inflation versus domestic slowdown signals, aligning with Reuters economist polls favoring a hold. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected March CPI data or escalated geopolitical tensions prompting a 25 basis point hike, though cuts remain negligible absent rapid disinflation.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
Hacim
$455,072Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.6% implied probability of no change in the Bank of England base rate at the April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 decision to hold at 3.75% amid persistent inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks that lifted February CPI to 3.0%—well above the 2% target—with sticky services inflation adding caution against easing. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores balanced risks of imported inflation versus domestic slowdown signals, aligning with Reuters economist polls favoring a hold. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected March CPI data or escalated geopolitical tensions prompting a 25 basis point hike, though cuts remain negligible absent rapid disinflation.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$455,072Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.6% implied probability of no change in the Bank of England base rate at the April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 decision to hold at 3.75% amid persistent inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks that lifted February CPI to 3.0%—well above the 2% target—with sticky services inflation adding caution against easing. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores balanced risks of imported inflation versus domestic slowdown signals, aligning with Reuters economist polls favoring a hold. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected March CPI data or escalated geopolitical tensions prompting a 25 basis point hike, though cuts remain negligible absent rapid disinflation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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