Latest polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including Market Links and CAM surveys from April 14, show former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria leading at 32-37%, GERB-SDS second at 19-22%, and PP-DB third at 12-13%, driving trader consensus that positions PP-DB as the 74% favorite for third place under proportional representation. DPS trails at 8-11% but shows modest gains, accounting for its 19% implied probability amid close contests in some aggregates, while Vazrazhdane lags further at 5-8%. This stability reflects voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021, ongoing anti-corruption protests that triggered the snap vote, and low expected turnout of around 51%, favoring established reformist blocs like PP-DB despite coalition formation uncertainties post-election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBulgaristan Parlamento Seçimi: 3. Sıra
Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimi: 3. Sıra
PP–DB 75%
DPS 19%
Vazrazhdane 3.7%
GERB-SDS 3.0%
$80,667 Hac.
$80,667 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
PP–DB
75%
DPS
19%
Vazrazhdane
4%
GERB-SDS
3%
MECh
<1%
BSP
<1%
İTN
<1%
PB
<1%
APS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
PP–DB 75%
DPS 19%
Vazrazhdane 3.7%
GERB-SDS 3.0%
$80,667 Hac.
$80,667 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
PP–DB
$23,894 Hac.
75%
DPS
$12,724 Hac.
19%
Vazrazhdane
$3,078 Hac.
4%
GERB-SDS
$10,118 Hac.
3%
MECh
$3,263 Hac.
<1%
BSP
$20,073 Hac.
<1%
İTN
$2,065 Hac.
<1%
PB
$1,575 Hac.
<1%
APS
$2,076 Hac.
<1%
Velichie
$1,802 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Latest polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including Market Links and CAM surveys from April 14, show former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria leading at 32-37%, GERB-SDS second at 19-22%, and PP-DB third at 12-13%, driving trader consensus that positions PP-DB as the 74% favorite for third place under proportional representation. DPS trails at 8-11% but shows modest gains, accounting for its 19% implied probability amid close contests in some aggregates, while Vazrazhdane lags further at 5-8%. This stability reflects voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021, ongoing anti-corruption protests that triggered the snap vote, and low expected turnout of around 51%, favoring established reformist blocs like PP-DB despite coalition formation uncertainties post-election.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Hacim
$80,667Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Latest polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including Market Links and CAM surveys from April 14, show former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria leading at 32-37%, GERB-SDS second at 19-22%, and PP-DB third at 12-13%, driving trader consensus that positions PP-DB as the 74% favorite for third place under proportional representation. DPS trails at 8-11% but shows modest gains, accounting for its 19% implied probability amid close contests in some aggregates, while Vazrazhdane lags further at 5-8%. This stability reflects voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021, ongoing anti-corruption protests that triggered the snap vote, and low expected turnout of around 51%, favoring established reformist blocs like PP-DB despite coalition formation uncertainties post-election.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$80,667Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including Market Links and CAM surveys from April 14, show former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria leading at 32-37%, GERB-SDS second at 19-22%, and PP-DB third at 12-13%, driving trader consensus that positions PP-DB as the 74% favorite for third place under proportional representation. DPS trails at 8-11% but shows modest gains, accounting for its 19% implied probability amid close contests in some aggregates, while Vazrazhdane lags further at 5-8%. This stability reflects voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021, ongoing anti-corruption protests that triggered the snap vote, and low expected turnout of around 51%, favoring established reformist blocs like PP-DB despite coalition formation uncertainties post-election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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