Trader consensus favors DISY with a 65% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's May 24 House of Representatives election under proportional representation across six districts, driven by recent polls showing a razor-thin lead over AKEL—such as Phileleftheros/EXPLORER's April survey (DISY 17.6%, AKEL 17.1%) and Cypronetwork's late March tie at 22.8% each—amid high undecided voters (25-30%) and vote fragmentation from rising ELAM (10-15%) and ALMA (9-12%). No major shifts in the past week, but DISY's organizational strength and historical edge in seat allocation bolster its position as the likely plurality winner, while smaller parties trail far behind in projections. The contest doubles as a 2028 presidential primary gauge.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiCyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
DISY 65%
AKEL 29%
EDEK 2.9%
VOLT 1.9%
$11,039 Hac.
$11,039 Hac.
24 May 2026
DISY
65%
AKEL
29%
EDEK
3%
VOLT
2%
KOSP
1%
ELAM
1%
DIKO
1%
DNM (DEK)
1%
DIPA
1%
DISY 65%
AKEL 29%
EDEK 2.9%
VOLT 1.9%
$11,039 Hac.
$11,039 Hac.
24 May 2026
DISY
$3,001 Hac.
65%
AKEL
$1,400 Hac.
29%
EDEK
$931 Hac.
3%
VOLT
$1,055 Hac.
2%
KOSP
$888 Hac.
1%
ELAM
$875 Hac.
1%
DIKO
$1,001 Hac.
1%
DNM (DEK)
$973 Hac.
1%
DIPA
$917 Hac.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).Trader consensus favors DISY with a 65% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's May 24 House of Representatives election under proportional representation across six districts, driven by recent polls showing a razor-thin lead over AKEL—such as Phileleftheros/EXPLORER's April survey (DISY 17.6%, AKEL 17.1%) and Cypronetwork's late March tie at 22.8% each—amid high undecided voters (25-30%) and vote fragmentation from rising ELAM (10-15%) and ALMA (9-12%). No major shifts in the past week, but DISY's organizational strength and historical edge in seat allocation bolster its position as the likely plurality winner, while smaller parties trail far behind in projections. The contest doubles as a 2028 presidential primary gauge.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Hacim
$11,039Bitiş Tarihi
24 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).Trader consensus favors DISY with a 65% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's May 24 House of Representatives election under proportional representation across six districts, driven by recent polls showing a razor-thin lead over AKEL—such as Phileleftheros/EXPLORER's April survey (DISY 17.6%, AKEL 17.1%) and Cypronetwork's late March tie at 22.8% each—amid high undecided voters (25-30%) and vote fragmentation from rising ELAM (10-15%) and ALMA (9-12%). No major shifts in the past week, but DISY's organizational strength and historical edge in seat allocation bolster its position as the likely plurality winner, while smaller parties trail far behind in projections. The contest doubles as a 2028 presidential primary gauge.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Hacim
$11,039Bitiş Tarihi
24 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors DISY with a 65% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's May 24 House of Representatives election under proportional representation across six districts, driven by recent polls showing a razor-thin lead over AKEL—such as Phileleftheros/EXPLORER's April survey (DISY 17.6%, AKEL 17.1%) and Cypronetwork's late March tie at 22.8% each—amid high undecided voters (25-30%) and vote fragmentation from rising ELAM (10-15%) and ALMA (9-12%). No major shifts in the past week, but DISY's organizational strength and historical edge in seat allocation bolster its position as the likely plurality winner, while smaller parties trail far behind in projections. The contest doubles as a 2028 presidential primary gauge.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular