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Siyaset·Kolombiya

Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?

Market icon
Siyaset·Kolombiya

Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?

5% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
5% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Daniel Noboa's reelection in Ecuador's April 2025 runoff secured a full four-year term ending in 2029, solidifying his position amid ongoing security challenges from drug-related violence. Traders' 95% implied probability on "No" reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings in the National Assembly—which requires a two-thirds supermajority—or snap election triggers by June 30, 2026. Recent developments include Noboa's March-April 2026 declarations of states of emergency and curfews in multiple provinces, deploying military for anti-gang offensives, reinforcing his hardline policy without threatening his tenure. While opposition parties face investigations, no verified legal actions target Noboa's removal; late scandals or health events could shift odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$1,573
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Daniel Noboa's reelection in Ecuador's April 2025 runoff secured a full four-year term ending in 2029, solidifying his position amid ongoing security challenges from drug-related violence. Traders' 95% implied probability on "No" reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings in the National Assembly—which requires a two-thirds supermajority—or snap election triggers by June 30, 2026. Recent developments include Noboa's March-April 2026 declarations of states of emergency and curfews in multiple provinces, deploying military for anti-gang offensives, reinforcing his hardline policy without threatening his tenure. While opposition parties face investigations, no verified legal actions target Noboa's removal; late scandals or health events could shift odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$1,573
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?", yatırımcıların bu olayın gerçekleşip gerçekleşmeyeceğine inançlarına göre "Evet" veya "Hayır" hisseleri alıp sattığı Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut kitle kaynaklı olasılık "Yes" için 5%'dir. Örneğin, "Evet" 5¢ fiyatındaysa, piyasa toplu olarak bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 5% olarak belirler. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Mar 19, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için cevabın "Evet" mi yoksa "Hayır" mı olacağına inandığınızı seçin. Her tarafın piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını yansıtan bir güncel fiyatı vardır. Miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. "Evet" hisseleri satın alırsanız ve sonuç "Evet" olarak çözümlenirse, her hisse 1$ öder. "Hayır" olarak çözümlenirse, "Evet" hisseleriniz 0$ öder. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?" için mevcut olasılık "Yes" için 5%'dir. Bu, Polymarket topluluğunun şu anda bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 5% olarak gördüğü anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar gerçek işlemlere dayalı olarak gerçek zamanlı güncellenir ve piyasanın ne olmasını beklediğine dair sürekli güncellenen bir sinyal sağlar.

"Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.