Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 60.5% to hold Florida's 23rd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz's strong reelection position in a South Florida battleground that Kamala Harris narrowly won in 2024. Moskowitz benefits from incumbency advantages, superior fundraising, and a Lean D rating from forecasters like Cook Political Report, despite NRCC targeting for a flip. Recent GOP primary developments include former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer's first campaign ad and $1.3 million opening haul last week, plus state Rep. George Moraitis becoming the first to qualify via petition signatures on April 17. A progressive challenge to Moskowitz from Oliver Larkin, backed by DSA endorsement, adds Democratic primary intrigue on August 18, but traders see limited risk to the party's general election edge amid potential redistricting uncertainty.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiFL-23 House Election Winner
FL-23 House Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
4 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
61%
Republican Party
39%
YENİ
YENİ
4 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
$46 Hac.
61%
Republican Party
$0 Hac.
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 60.5% to hold Florida's 23rd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz's strong reelection position in a South Florida battleground that Kamala Harris narrowly won in 2024. Moskowitz benefits from incumbency advantages, superior fundraising, and a Lean D rating from forecasters like Cook Political Report, despite NRCC targeting for a flip. Recent GOP primary developments include former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer's first campaign ad and $1.3 million opening haul last week, plus state Rep. George Moraitis becoming the first to qualify via petition signatures on April 17. A progressive challenge to Moskowitz from Oliver Larkin, backed by DSA endorsement, adds Democratic primary intrigue on August 18, but traders see limited risk to the party's general election edge amid potential redistricting uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Hacim
$46Bitiş Tarihi
4 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 60.5% to hold Florida's 23rd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz's strong reelection position in a South Florida battleground that Kamala Harris narrowly won in 2024. Moskowitz benefits from incumbency advantages, superior fundraising, and a Lean D rating from forecasters like Cook Political Report, despite NRCC targeting for a flip. Recent GOP primary developments include former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer's first campaign ad and $1.3 million opening haul last week, plus state Rep. George Moraitis becoming the first to qualify via petition signatures on April 17. A progressive challenge to Moskowitz from Oliver Larkin, backed by DSA endorsement, adds Democratic primary intrigue on August 18, but traders see limited risk to the party's general election edge amid potential redistricting uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$46Bitiş Tarihi
4 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 60.5% to hold Florida's 23rd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz's strong reelection position in a South Florida battleground that Kamala Harris narrowly won in 2024. Moskowitz benefits from incumbency advantages, superior fundraising, and a Lean D rating from forecasters like Cook Political Report, despite NRCC targeting for a flip. Recent GOP primary developments include former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer's first campaign ad and $1.3 million opening haul last week, plus state Rep. George Moraitis becoming the first to qualify via petition signatures on April 17. A progressive challenge to Moskowitz from Oliver Larkin, backed by DSA endorsement, adds Democratic primary intrigue on August 18, but traders see limited risk to the party's general election edge amid potential redistricting uncertainty.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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