Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in global forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing a 20–27°C spread primarily due to divergent predictions on afternoon cloud cover evolution and sea breeze timing from the Río de la Plata, which could suppress daytime heating. The tight clustering around 24°C (30%), 25°C (27.5%), and 26°C (22%) aligns with recent warmer-than-average April days—such as 23°C on April 15 and 26°C on April 12—amid lingering high-pressure influence, exceeding the monthly climatological maximum of about 21°C. Key differentiators include insolation levels and coastal wind shifts; fresh Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and 00Z model runs expected within 24 hours may narrow the range ahead of resolution based on official Aeroparque measurements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
24°C 31%
25°C 29%
26°C 22%
23°C 10%
$21,721 Hac.
$21,721 Hac.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
10%
24°C
31%
25°C
29%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 31%
25°C 29%
26°C 22%
23°C 10%
$21,721 Hac.
$21,721 Hac.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
10%
24°C
31%
25°C
29%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in global forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing a 20–27°C spread primarily due to divergent predictions on afternoon cloud cover evolution and sea breeze timing from the Río de la Plata, which could suppress daytime heating. The tight clustering around 24°C (30%), 25°C (27.5%), and 26°C (22%) aligns with recent warmer-than-average April days—such as 23°C on April 15 and 26°C on April 12—amid lingering high-pressure influence, exceeding the monthly climatological maximum of about 21°C. Key differentiators include insolation levels and coastal wind shifts; fresh Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and 00Z model runs expected within 24 hours may narrow the range ahead of resolution based on official Aeroparque measurements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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