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Siyaset·Trump Presidency

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

Market icon
Siyaset·Trump Presidency

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

Ara 31

Ara 31

YENİ
31 Ara 2026
Polymarket

$3,373 Hac.

Polymarket

↑ 44%

$2,513 Hac.

12%

↑ 45%

$0 Hac.

14%

↑ 46%

$523 Hac.

9%

↑ 47%

$0 Hac.

5%

↑ 48%

$337 Hac.

4%

↑ 49%

$0 Hac.

4%

↑ 50%

$0 Hac.

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Donald Trump's approval ratings have sunk to second-term lows near 38% in mid-April 2026 polling averages from sources like Quinnipiac, CNN, and YouGov, reflecting trader concerns over peak potential amid economic headwinds and foreign policy challenges. Surging gas prices above $4 per gallon, fueled by the U.S.-Iran war—including naval blockades of the Strait of Hormuz—have eroded support, alongside inflation and a recent partial government shutdown over Department of Homeland Security funding for immigration enforcement, now resolved. Recent Pakistan-mediated ceasefire talks offer de-escalation potential, while upcoming tax cut announcements and economic data releases could spur rebounds before November 2026 midterms, consistent with historical fluctuations in presidential job approval during crises.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Hacim
$3,373
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Donald Trump's approval ratings have sunk to second-term lows near 38% in mid-April 2026 polling averages from sources like Quinnipiac, CNN, and YouGov, reflecting trader concerns over peak potential amid economic headwinds and foreign policy challenges. Surging gas prices above $4 per gallon, fueled by the U.S.-Iran war—including naval blockades of the Strait of Hormuz—have eroded support, alongside inflation and a recent partial government shutdown over Department of Homeland Security funding for immigration enforcement, now resolved. Recent Pakistan-mediated ceasefire talks offer de-escalation potential, while upcoming tax cut announcements and economic data releases could spur rebounds before November 2026 midterms, consistent with historical fluctuations in presidential job approval during crises.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Hacim
$3,373
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 7 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 14% ile "↑ 45%", ardından 12% ile "↑ 44%" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 14¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 14% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Dec 12, 2025 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 7 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?" için mevcut favori 14% ile "↑ 45%"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 14% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 12% ile "↑ 44%"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.