Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 90.5¢ in the IN-03 House race, reflecting the district's strong R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Marlin Stutzman's decisive 65% win in the 2024 general election, and uniformly Safe/Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections as of mid-April 2026. Stutzman faces token primary opposition from Jon Kenworthy on May 5, backed by superior fundraising ($188,000 cash on hand), while Democrat Kelly Thompson runs unopposed with modest $13,000 cash. No recent polls or developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days. Realistic challenges include a Stutzman primary upset, late scandal, or overwhelming national Democratic midterm wave overcoming district fundamentals.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiIN-03 House Election Winner
IN-03 House Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Republican Party
$657 Hac.
91%
Democratic Party
$382 Hac.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 90.5¢ in the IN-03 House race, reflecting the district's strong R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Marlin Stutzman's decisive 65% win in the 2024 general election, and uniformly Safe/Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections as of mid-April 2026. Stutzman faces token primary opposition from Jon Kenworthy on May 5, backed by superior fundraising ($188,000 cash on hand), while Democrat Kelly Thompson runs unopposed with modest $13,000 cash. No recent polls or developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days. Realistic challenges include a Stutzman primary upset, late scandal, or overwhelming national Democratic midterm wave overcoming district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Hacim
$1,039Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 90.5¢ in the IN-03 House race, reflecting the district's strong R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Marlin Stutzman's decisive 65% win in the 2024 general election, and uniformly Safe/Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections as of mid-April 2026. Stutzman faces token primary opposition from Jon Kenworthy on May 5, backed by superior fundraising ($188,000 cash on hand), while Democrat Kelly Thompson runs unopposed with modest $13,000 cash. No recent polls or developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days. Realistic challenges include a Stutzman primary upset, late scandal, or overwhelming national Democratic midterm wave overcoming district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$1,039Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 90.5¢ in the IN-03 House race, reflecting the district's strong R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Marlin Stutzman's decisive 65% win in the 2024 general election, and uniformly Safe/Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections as of mid-April 2026. Stutzman faces token primary opposition from Jon Kenworthy on May 5, backed by superior fundraising ($188,000 cash on hand), while Democrat Kelly Thompson runs unopposed with modest $13,000 cash. No recent polls or developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days. Realistic challenges include a Stutzman primary upset, late scandal, or overwhelming national Democratic midterm wave overcoming district fundamentals.
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