With Gov. Kim Reynolds term-limited and retiring after three terms, trader consensus tilts toward Democrats at 61.5% implied probability for Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial race, driven by State Auditor Rob Sand's polling edge and fundraising dominance as presumptive Democratic nominee ahead of the June 2 primaries. A March GBAO poll of likely voters showed Sand leading presumed GOP frontrunner Rep. Randy Feenstra 50%-42%, fueling the Cook Political Report's April 9 shift to Toss Up from Lean Republican. The fractured five-way Republican primary—featuring Feenstra, Adam Steen, Eddie Andrews, Brad Sherman, and Zach Lahn—risks vote-splitting absent a clear frontrunner, while Iowa's lack of a Democratic governor since 1998 underscores the upset potential amid national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiIowa Governor Election Winner
Iowa Governor Election Winner
$27,735 Hac.
$27,735 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Democrat
62%
Republican
34%
$27,735 Hac.
$27,735 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Democrat
$12,944 Hac.
62%
Republican
$14,791 Hac.
34%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With Gov. Kim Reynolds term-limited and retiring after three terms, trader consensus tilts toward Democrats at 61.5% implied probability for Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial race, driven by State Auditor Rob Sand's polling edge and fundraising dominance as presumptive Democratic nominee ahead of the June 2 primaries. A March GBAO poll of likely voters showed Sand leading presumed GOP frontrunner Rep. Randy Feenstra 50%-42%, fueling the Cook Political Report's April 9 shift to Toss Up from Lean Republican. The fractured five-way Republican primary—featuring Feenstra, Adam Steen, Eddie Andrews, Brad Sherman, and Zach Lahn—risks vote-splitting absent a clear frontrunner, while Iowa's lack of a Democratic governor since 1998 underscores the upset potential amid national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Hacim
$27,735Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With Gov. Kim Reynolds term-limited and retiring after three terms, trader consensus tilts toward Democrats at 61.5% implied probability for Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial race, driven by State Auditor Rob Sand's polling edge and fundraising dominance as presumptive Democratic nominee ahead of the June 2 primaries. A March GBAO poll of likely voters showed Sand leading presumed GOP frontrunner Rep. Randy Feenstra 50%-42%, fueling the Cook Political Report's April 9 shift to Toss Up from Lean Republican. The fractured five-way Republican primary—featuring Feenstra, Adam Steen, Eddie Andrews, Brad Sherman, and Zach Lahn—risks vote-splitting absent a clear frontrunner, while Iowa's lack of a Democratic governor since 1998 underscores the upset potential amid national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$27,735Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Gov. Kim Reynolds term-limited and retiring after three terms, trader consensus tilts toward Democrats at 61.5% implied probability for Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial race, driven by State Auditor Rob Sand's polling edge and fundraising dominance as presumptive Democratic nominee ahead of the June 2 primaries. A March GBAO poll of likely voters showed Sand leading presumed GOP frontrunner Rep. Randy Feenstra 50%-42%, fueling the Cook Political Report's April 9 shift to Toss Up from Lean Republican. The fractured five-way Republican primary—featuring Feenstra, Adam Steen, Eddie Andrews, Brad Sherman, and Zach Lahn—risks vote-splitting absent a clear frontrunner, while Iowa's lack of a Democratic governor since 1998 underscores the upset potential amid national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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