Amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war sparked by US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28 that assassinated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, the IRGC has consolidated control through a military council, sidelining President Masoud Pezeshkian and pledging allegiance to Mojtaba Khamenei as successor despite unconfirmed reports of his incapacitation. Early April rumors of an IRGC "silent coup" reflected power stabilization rather than overthrow attempts, with no verified internal challenges since. Recent failed ceasefire talks in Islamabad on April 12 and US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have unified military efforts externally, underscoring regime resilience and trader consensus at 88% against a coup attempt by June 30 absent defections or mass protests.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$392,571 Hac.
$392,571 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$392,571 Hac.
$392,571 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war sparked by US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28 that assassinated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, the IRGC has consolidated control through a military council, sidelining President Masoud Pezeshkian and pledging allegiance to Mojtaba Khamenei as successor despite unconfirmed reports of his incapacitation. Early April rumors of an IRGC "silent coup" reflected power stabilization rather than overthrow attempts, with no verified internal challenges since. Recent failed ceasefire talks in Islamabad on April 12 and US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have unified military efforts externally, underscoring regime resilience and trader consensus at 88% against a coup attempt by June 30 absent defections or mass protests.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Hacim
$392,571Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war sparked by US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28 that assassinated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, the IRGC has consolidated control through a military council, sidelining President Masoud Pezeshkian and pledging allegiance to Mojtaba Khamenei as successor despite unconfirmed reports of his incapacitation. Early April rumors of an IRGC "silent coup" reflected power stabilization rather than overthrow attempts, with no verified internal challenges since. Recent failed ceasefire talks in Islamabad on April 12 and US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have unified military efforts externally, underscoring regime resilience and trader consensus at 88% against a coup attempt by June 30 absent defections or mass protests.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$392,571Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war sparked by US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28 that assassinated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, the IRGC has consolidated control through a military council, sidelining President Masoud Pezeshkian and pledging allegiance to Mojtaba Khamenei as successor despite unconfirmed reports of his incapacitation. Early April rumors of an IRGC "silent coup" reflected power stabilization rather than overthrow attempts, with no verified internal challenges since. Recent failed ceasefire talks in Islamabad on April 12 and US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have unified military efforts externally, underscoring regime resilience and trader consensus at 88% against a coup attempt by June 30 absent defections or mass protests.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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