Trader consensus prices "No" at 87% for an Iran coup attempt by June 30, reflecting the regime's institutional resilience amid the aftermath of the 2026 US-Israel-Iran war that began in late February. Supreme Leader Khamenei's security apparatus, led by the IRGC, has effectively suppressed widespread protests and quashed alleged foreign-backed plots, including a reported failed coup in early January per French media. No verifiable military defections, high-level arrests signaling internal fractures, or escalation signals have emerged in the past 30 days, with recent April developments focusing on post-war stabilization rather than domestic upheaval. Upcoming diplomatic negotiations and economic pressures could test cohesion, but historical patterns of regime survival favor continuity.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$392,809 Hac.
$392,809 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$392,809 Hac.
$392,809 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 87% for an Iran coup attempt by June 30, reflecting the regime's institutional resilience amid the aftermath of the 2026 US-Israel-Iran war that began in late February. Supreme Leader Khamenei's security apparatus, led by the IRGC, has effectively suppressed widespread protests and quashed alleged foreign-backed plots, including a reported failed coup in early January per French media. No verifiable military defections, high-level arrests signaling internal fractures, or escalation signals have emerged in the past 30 days, with recent April developments focusing on post-war stabilization rather than domestic upheaval. Upcoming diplomatic negotiations and economic pressures could test cohesion, but historical patterns of regime survival favor continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Hacim
$392,809Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 87% for an Iran coup attempt by June 30, reflecting the regime's institutional resilience amid the aftermath of the 2026 US-Israel-Iran war that began in late February. Supreme Leader Khamenei's security apparatus, led by the IRGC, has effectively suppressed widespread protests and quashed alleged foreign-backed plots, including a reported failed coup in early January per French media. No verifiable military defections, high-level arrests signaling internal fractures, or escalation signals have emerged in the past 30 days, with recent April developments focusing on post-war stabilization rather than domestic upheaval. Upcoming diplomatic negotiations and economic pressures could test cohesion, but historical patterns of regime survival favor continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$392,809Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 87% for an Iran coup attempt by June 30, reflecting the regime's institutional resilience amid the aftermath of the 2026 US-Israel-Iran war that began in late February. Supreme Leader Khamenei's security apparatus, led by the IRGC, has effectively suppressed widespread protests and quashed alleged foreign-backed plots, including a reported failed coup in early January per French media. No verifiable military defections, high-level arrests signaling internal fractures, or escalation signals have emerged in the past 30 days, with recent April developments focusing on post-war stabilization rather than domestic upheaval. Upcoming diplomatic negotiations and economic pressures could test cohesion, but historical patterns of regime survival favor continuity.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular