Israel and Lebanon reached a U.S.-brokered 10-day ceasefire agreement on April 16, 2026, announced by President Trump, pausing over six weeks of cross-border hostilities with Hezbollah that erupted in early March amid the wider Iran conflict. Hezbollah, not a direct signatory, fired rockets at northern Israel hours before the truce took effect, while Israel struck Litani River bridges to curb militant movements, highlighting enforcement risks. The deal preserves Israel's self-defense rights and sets up potential Netanyahu-Lebanese president talks at the White House for a lasting accord, but trader sentiment weighs fragile compliance, possible violations, and de-escalation signals against ongoing diplomatic pressures.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİsrail x Hizbullah ateşkesi...?
İsrail x Hizbullah ateşkesi...?
$39,982,159 Hac.
15 Nis 2026
18 Nisan
100%
$39,982,159 Hac.
18 Nisan
$25,949,023 Hac.
100%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.Israel and Lebanon reached a U.S.-brokered 10-day ceasefire agreement on April 16, 2026, announced by President Trump, pausing over six weeks of cross-border hostilities with Hezbollah that erupted in early March amid the wider Iran conflict. Hezbollah, not a direct signatory, fired rockets at northern Israel hours before the truce took effect, while Israel struck Litani River bridges to curb militant movements, highlighting enforcement risks. The deal preserves Israel's self-defense rights and sets up potential Netanyahu-Lebanese president talks at the White House for a lasting accord, but trader sentiment weighs fragile compliance, possible violations, and de-escalation signals against ongoing diplomatic pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Hacim
$39,982,159Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz edildi
Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz edildi
Son inceleme
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.Israel and Lebanon reached a U.S.-brokered 10-day ceasefire agreement on April 16, 2026, announced by President Trump, pausing over six weeks of cross-border hostilities with Hezbollah that erupted in early March amid the wider Iran conflict. Hezbollah, not a direct signatory, fired rockets at northern Israel hours before the truce took effect, while Israel struck Litani River bridges to curb militant movements, highlighting enforcement risks. The deal preserves Israel's self-defense rights and sets up potential Netanyahu-Lebanese president talks at the White House for a lasting accord, but trader sentiment weighs fragile compliance, possible violations, and de-escalation signals against ongoing diplomatic pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
Hacim
$39,982,159Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz edildi
Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz edildi
Son inceleme
Israel and Lebanon reached a U.S.-brokered 10-day ceasefire agreement on April 16, 2026, announced by President Trump, pausing over six weeks of cross-border hostilities with Hezbollah that erupted in early March amid the wider Iran conflict. Hezbollah, not a direct signatory, fired rockets at northern Israel hours before the truce took effect, while Israel struck Litani River bridges to curb militant movements, highlighting enforcement risks. The deal preserves Israel's self-defense rights and sets up potential Netanyahu-Lebanese president talks at the White House for a lasting accord, but trader sentiment weighs fragile compliance, possible violations, and de-escalation signals against ongoing diplomatic pressures.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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