Amid ongoing Israeli ground operations and airstrikes in southern Lebanon, trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects stalled advances toward the Litani River despite Defense Minister Israel Katz's March announcement of a security zone up to its banks. Recent IDF strikes on multiple Litani crossings—seven reported by early April—aim to block Hezbollah reinforcements, but Hezbollah ambushes, including near Bint Jbeil as of April 9, have inflicted casualties and halted infantry pushes. Netanyahu's April orders for buffer zone expansion signal intent, yet focus remains on consolidating south of the river amid fierce resistance, with no verified crossings in the past month. Diplomatic pressures and high operational costs further temper expectations before June 30.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİsrail kuvvetleri 30 Haziran'a kadar Litani Nehri'ni geçecek mi?
İsrail kuvvetleri 30 Haziran'a kadar Litani Nehri'ni geçecek mi?
Evet
$357,268 Hac.
$357,268 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$357,268 Hac.
$357,268 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing Israeli ground operations and airstrikes in southern Lebanon, trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects stalled advances toward the Litani River despite Defense Minister Israel Katz's March announcement of a security zone up to its banks. Recent IDF strikes on multiple Litani crossings—seven reported by early April—aim to block Hezbollah reinforcements, but Hezbollah ambushes, including near Bint Jbeil as of April 9, have inflicted casualties and halted infantry pushes. Netanyahu's April orders for buffer zone expansion signal intent, yet focus remains on consolidating south of the river amid fierce resistance, with no verified crossings in the past month. Diplomatic pressures and high operational costs further temper expectations before June 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Hacim
$357,268Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing Israeli ground operations and airstrikes in southern Lebanon, trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects stalled advances toward the Litani River despite Defense Minister Israel Katz's March announcement of a security zone up to its banks. Recent IDF strikes on multiple Litani crossings—seven reported by early April—aim to block Hezbollah reinforcements, but Hezbollah ambushes, including near Bint Jbeil as of April 9, have inflicted casualties and halted infantry pushes. Netanyahu's April orders for buffer zone expansion signal intent, yet focus remains on consolidating south of the river amid fierce resistance, with no verified crossings in the past month. Diplomatic pressures and high operational costs further temper expectations before June 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$357,268Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid ongoing Israeli ground operations and airstrikes in southern Lebanon, trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects stalled advances toward the Litani River despite Defense Minister Israel Katz's March announcement of a security zone up to its banks. Recent IDF strikes on multiple Litani crossings—seven reported by early April—aim to block Hezbollah reinforcements, but Hezbollah ambushes, including near Bint Jbeil as of April 9, have inflicted casualties and halted infantry pushes. Netanyahu's April orders for buffer zone expansion signal intent, yet focus remains on consolidating south of the river amid fierce resistance, with no verified crossings in the past month. Diplomatic pressures and high operational costs further temper expectations before June 30.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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