Israeli Defense Forces have advanced ground operations into southern Lebanon, reaching the Litani River in late March while destroying multiple bridges used by Hezbollah for logistics, but have not crossed north of the waterway into deeper territory. Defense Minister Israel Katz announced plans for a long-term buffer zone up to the Litani—about 19 miles from the border—emphasizing control south of the river rather than beyond, aligning with UN Resolution 1701's framework. Recent direct ceasefire talks between Israel and Lebanon, discussed by the security cabinet on April 15, signal de-escalation efforts amid intensified airstrikes, leading traders to price a 79% implied probability against a crossing by June 30 absent major escalation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİsrail kuvvetleri 30 Haziran'a kadar Litani Nehri'ni geçecek mi?
İsrail kuvvetleri 30 Haziran'a kadar Litani Nehri'ni geçecek mi?
Evet
$360,272 Hac.
$360,272 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$360,272 Hac.
$360,272 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Defense Forces have advanced ground operations into southern Lebanon, reaching the Litani River in late March while destroying multiple bridges used by Hezbollah for logistics, but have not crossed north of the waterway into deeper territory. Defense Minister Israel Katz announced plans for a long-term buffer zone up to the Litani—about 19 miles from the border—emphasizing control south of the river rather than beyond, aligning with UN Resolution 1701's framework. Recent direct ceasefire talks between Israel and Lebanon, discussed by the security cabinet on April 15, signal de-escalation efforts amid intensified airstrikes, leading traders to price a 79% implied probability against a crossing by June 30 absent major escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Hacim
$360,272Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Defense Forces have advanced ground operations into southern Lebanon, reaching the Litani River in late March while destroying multiple bridges used by Hezbollah for logistics, but have not crossed north of the waterway into deeper territory. Defense Minister Israel Katz announced plans for a long-term buffer zone up to the Litani—about 19 miles from the border—emphasizing control south of the river rather than beyond, aligning with UN Resolution 1701's framework. Recent direct ceasefire talks between Israel and Lebanon, discussed by the security cabinet on April 15, signal de-escalation efforts amid intensified airstrikes, leading traders to price a 79% implied probability against a crossing by June 30 absent major escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$360,272Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Defense Forces have advanced ground operations into southern Lebanon, reaching the Litani River in late March while destroying multiple bridges used by Hezbollah for logistics, but have not crossed north of the waterway into deeper territory. Defense Minister Israel Katz announced plans for a long-term buffer zone up to the Litani—about 19 miles from the border—emphasizing control south of the river rather than beyond, aligning with UN Resolution 1701's framework. Recent direct ceasefire talks between Israel and Lebanon, discussed by the security cabinet on April 15, signal de-escalation efforts amid intensified airstrikes, leading traders to price a 79% implied probability against a crossing by June 30 absent major escalation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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