Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's commanding trader consensus at 92% in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District stems from the D+18 partisan lean, her 25-year tenure with consistent 60%+ general election margins, and superior fundraising exceeding $1 million cash-on-hand as of late March. Recent Sierra Club endorsement on April 8 reinforces her environmental record amid an uncompetitive primary against low-funded challenger Aswar Rahman, while Republican primary contenders Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong show minimal resources. All major forecasters rate it Solid/Safe Democratic. Upsets remain possible via a breakout GOP nominee post-August 11 primary, McCollum scandal, or national midterm Republican wave, though historical precedents favor incumbents in safe seats.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
$2,080 Hac.
92%
Republican Party
$1,918 Hac.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's commanding trader consensus at 92% in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District stems from the D+18 partisan lean, her 25-year tenure with consistent 60%+ general election margins, and superior fundraising exceeding $1 million cash-on-hand as of late March. Recent Sierra Club endorsement on April 8 reinforces her environmental record amid an uncompetitive primary against low-funded challenger Aswar Rahman, while Republican primary contenders Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong show minimal resources. All major forecasters rate it Solid/Safe Democratic. Upsets remain possible via a breakout GOP nominee post-August 11 primary, McCollum scandal, or national midterm Republican wave, though historical precedents favor incumbents in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Hacim
$3,997Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's commanding trader consensus at 92% in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District stems from the D+18 partisan lean, her 25-year tenure with consistent 60%+ general election margins, and superior fundraising exceeding $1 million cash-on-hand as of late March. Recent Sierra Club endorsement on April 8 reinforces her environmental record amid an uncompetitive primary against low-funded challenger Aswar Rahman, while Republican primary contenders Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong show minimal resources. All major forecasters rate it Solid/Safe Democratic. Upsets remain possible via a breakout GOP nominee post-August 11 primary, McCollum scandal, or national midterm Republican wave, though historical precedents favor incumbents in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$3,997Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's commanding trader consensus at 92% in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District stems from the D+18 partisan lean, her 25-year tenure with consistent 60%+ general election margins, and superior fundraising exceeding $1 million cash-on-hand as of late March. Recent Sierra Club endorsement on April 8 reinforces her environmental record amid an uncompetitive primary against low-funded challenger Aswar Rahman, while Republican primary contenders Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong show minimal resources. All major forecasters rate it Solid/Safe Democratic. Upsets remain possible via a breakout GOP nominee post-August 11 primary, McCollum scandal, or national midterm Republican wave, though historical precedents favor incumbents in safe seats.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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