Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul's double-digit leads in recent polls, including a 47-34% edge over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman in the Siena survey from late March, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to win New York's November 3 gubernatorial election. Hochul's approval rating has reached its highest in over four years per February Marist polling, bolstered by the state's deep Democratic registration advantage—over 2-to-1—and historical GOP struggles in statewide races since 2002. While GOP internals show narrower gaps, markets reflect skepticism amid stable trends. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise on June 23, a major scandal, or a national Republican wave shifting battleground turnout.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNew York Valisi Seçimi Kazananı
New York Valisi Seçimi Kazananı
$52,299 Hac.
$52,299 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat
92%
Cumhuriyetçi
9%
$52,299 Hac.
$52,299 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat
$26,333 Hac.
92%
Cumhuriyetçi
$25,966 Hac.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul's double-digit leads in recent polls, including a 47-34% edge over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman in the Siena survey from late March, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to win New York's November 3 gubernatorial election. Hochul's approval rating has reached its highest in over four years per February Marist polling, bolstered by the state's deep Democratic registration advantage—over 2-to-1—and historical GOP struggles in statewide races since 2002. While GOP internals show narrower gaps, markets reflect skepticism amid stable trends. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise on June 23, a major scandal, or a national Republican wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Hacim
$52,299Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul's double-digit leads in recent polls, including a 47-34% edge over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman in the Siena survey from late March, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to win New York's November 3 gubernatorial election. Hochul's approval rating has reached its highest in over four years per February Marist polling, bolstered by the state's deep Democratic registration advantage—over 2-to-1—and historical GOP struggles in statewide races since 2002. While GOP internals show narrower gaps, markets reflect skepticism amid stable trends. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise on June 23, a major scandal, or a national Republican wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$52,299Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul's double-digit leads in recent polls, including a 47-34% edge over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman in the Siena survey from late March, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to win New York's November 3 gubernatorial election. Hochul's approval rating has reached its highest in over four years per February Marist polling, bolstered by the state's deep Democratic registration advantage—over 2-to-1—and historical GOP struggles in statewide races since 2002. While GOP internals show narrower gaps, markets reflect skepticism amid stable trends. Upsets could arise from a primary surprise on June 23, a major scandal, or a national Republican wave shifting battleground turnout.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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