Trader consensus heavily favors 17-17.5 million TSA checkpoint passengers for April 13-19 at 76.5%, reflecting partial data through April 14 totaling 4.65 million—tracking closely to the prior week's 17.66 million—amid sustained spring break air travel demand projected at record 171 million passengers through April. Strong weekend volumes (2.82 million on April 12, 2.61 million on April 13) were offset by a weekday dip to 2.05 million on April 14, consistent with patterns averaging 2.52 million daily. Ongoing partial government shutdown has driven TSA staffing shortages, with over 450 officer resignations and high call-out rates fueling hours-long security lines, prompting some travelers to shift to road trips and tempering upside potential into the April 19 close. Upcoming weekdays could average 2.6 million daily to hit the leading bin, barring further disruptions.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi17-17.5m 73%
16.5-17m 13.1%
17.5-18m 10%
18-18.5m 2.3%
<16.5m
13%
16.5-17m
13%
17-17.5m
76%
17.5-18m
19%
18-18.5m
2%
>18.5m
1%
17-17.5m 73%
16.5-17m 13.1%
17.5-18m 10%
18-18.5m 2.3%
<16.5m
13%
16.5-17m
13%
17-17.5m
76%
17.5-18m
19%
18-18.5m
2%
>18.5m
1%
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 17-17.5 million TSA checkpoint passengers for April 13-19 at 76.5%, reflecting partial data through April 14 totaling 4.65 million—tracking closely to the prior week's 17.66 million—amid sustained spring break air travel demand projected at record 171 million passengers through April. Strong weekend volumes (2.82 million on April 12, 2.61 million on April 13) were offset by a weekday dip to 2.05 million on April 14, consistent with patterns averaging 2.52 million daily. Ongoing partial government shutdown has driven TSA staffing shortages, with over 450 officer resignations and high call-out rates fueling hours-long security lines, prompting some travelers to shift to road trips and tempering upside potential into the April 19 close. Upcoming weekdays could average 2.6 million daily to hit the leading bin, barring further disruptions.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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