Incumbent Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over presumptive Republican nominee State Treasurer Stacy Garrity underpin trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 91% for the November 3 general election. A Susquehanna poll released early April showed Shapiro ahead 58%-36%, building on prior Quinnipiac and Franklin & Marshall surveys averaging a +20 margin, bolstered by his 60% job approval and 10-to-1 Q1 fundraising edge. With Pennsylvania primaries on May 19, a stronger GOP primary winner could narrow the gap, though historical incumbency advantages in the battleground state favor continuity; late scandals, economic shifts, or national midterm waves remain potential disruptors.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiPennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
$16,218 Hac.
$16,218 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Democrat
91%
Republican
7%
$16,218 Hac.
$16,218 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Democrat
$5,803 Hac.
91%
Republican
$10,415 Hac.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over presumptive Republican nominee State Treasurer Stacy Garrity underpin trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 91% for the November 3 general election. A Susquehanna poll released early April showed Shapiro ahead 58%-36%, building on prior Quinnipiac and Franklin & Marshall surveys averaging a +20 margin, bolstered by his 60% job approval and 10-to-1 Q1 fundraising edge. With Pennsylvania primaries on May 19, a stronger GOP primary winner could narrow the gap, though historical incumbency advantages in the battleground state favor continuity; late scandals, economic shifts, or national midterm waves remain potential disruptors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Hacim
$16,218Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over presumptive Republican nominee State Treasurer Stacy Garrity underpin trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 91% for the November 3 general election. A Susquehanna poll released early April showed Shapiro ahead 58%-36%, building on prior Quinnipiac and Franklin & Marshall surveys averaging a +20 margin, bolstered by his 60% job approval and 10-to-1 Q1 fundraising edge. With Pennsylvania primaries on May 19, a stronger GOP primary winner could narrow the gap, though historical incumbency advantages in the battleground state favor continuity; late scandals, economic shifts, or national midterm waves remain potential disruptors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$16,218Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over presumptive Republican nominee State Treasurer Stacy Garrity underpin trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 91% for the November 3 general election. A Susquehanna poll released early April showed Shapiro ahead 58%-36%, building on prior Quinnipiac and Franklin & Marshall surveys averaging a +20 margin, bolstered by his 60% job approval and 10-to-1 Q1 fundraising edge. With Pennsylvania primaries on May 19, a stronger GOP primary winner could narrow the gap, though historical incumbency advantages in the battleground state favor continuity; late scandals, economic shifts, or national midterm waves remain potential disruptors.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular