Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability against Steve Bannon being exonerated by April 30, reflecting procedural hurdles in the district court despite a favorable Supreme Court order on April 6 vacating the D.C. Circuit's affirmation of his 2022 contempt of Congress conviction. The Trump administration's DOJ filed a Rule 48(a) motion to dismiss the indictment and vacate the judgment—citing interests of justice—prompting the SCOTUS remand to U.S. District Judge Carl J. Nichols, who presided over the original trial. No ruling has issued in the past 10 days, and traders anticipate delays from briefing, hearings, or scheduling that could push resolution beyond the deadline, maintaining uncertainty in this Jan. 6 subpoena defiance case.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$13,517 Hac.
$13,517 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
$13,517 Hac.
$13,517 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability against Steve Bannon being exonerated by April 30, reflecting procedural hurdles in the district court despite a favorable Supreme Court order on April 6 vacating the D.C. Circuit's affirmation of his 2022 contempt of Congress conviction. The Trump administration's DOJ filed a Rule 48(a) motion to dismiss the indictment and vacate the judgment—citing interests of justice—prompting the SCOTUS remand to U.S. District Judge Carl J. Nichols, who presided over the original trial. No ruling has issued in the past 10 days, and traders anticipate delays from briefing, hearings, or scheduling that could push resolution beyond the deadline, maintaining uncertainty in this Jan. 6 subpoena defiance case.
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Hacim
$13,517Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability against Steve Bannon being exonerated by April 30, reflecting procedural hurdles in the district court despite a favorable Supreme Court order on April 6 vacating the D.C. Circuit's affirmation of his 2022 contempt of Congress conviction. The Trump administration's DOJ filed a Rule 48(a) motion to dismiss the indictment and vacate the judgment—citing interests of justice—prompting the SCOTUS remand to U.S. District Judge Carl J. Nichols, who presided over the original trial. No ruling has issued in the past 10 days, and traders anticipate delays from briefing, hearings, or scheduling that could push resolution beyond the deadline, maintaining uncertainty in this Jan. 6 subpoena defiance case.
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$13,517Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability against Steve Bannon being exonerated by April 30, reflecting procedural hurdles in the district court despite a favorable Supreme Court order on April 6 vacating the D.C. Circuit's affirmation of his 2022 contempt of Congress conviction. The Trump administration's DOJ filed a Rule 48(a) motion to dismiss the indictment and vacate the judgment—citing interests of justice—prompting the SCOTUS remand to U.S. District Judge Carl J. Nichols, who presided over the original trial. No ruling has issued in the past 10 days, and traders anticipate delays from briefing, hearings, or scheduling that could push resolution beyond the deadline, maintaining uncertainty in this Jan. 6 subpoena defiance case.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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