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Siyaset·Kanada

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

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Siyaset·Kanada

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow 77%

Brad Bradford 11%

Ana Bailão 6%

John Tory 2.6%

Polymarket
YENİ

Olivia Chow 77%

Brad Bradford 11%

Ana Bailão 6%

John Tory 2.6%

Polymarket
YENİ
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Olivia Chow

$4,078 Hac.

77%

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Brad Bradford

$715 Hac.

11%

Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Ana Bailão

$1,972 Hac.

6%

Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

John Tory

$311 Hac.

3%

Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Kevin Clarke

$383 Hac.

2%

Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Michael Ford

$1,031 Hac.

2%

Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Anthony Furey

$410 Hac.

1%

Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Marco Mendicino

$331 Hac.

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 77% implied probability for the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election, driven by early March polls showing her leading challengers by double digits—such as 44% to Brad Bradford's 26% in a Liaison Strategies survey and 35% to his 29% in Pallas Data—following former Mayor John Tory's announcement he will not run and Michael Ford's withdrawal. High undecided rates around 25% underscore the early stage, but Chow's incumbency advantage and focus on housing and transit bolster her position amid voter concerns over city direction. Bradford, a city councillor actively campaigning for change, trails at 11% as the primary conservative alternative, while Ana Bailão's 6% reflects her lower profile since taking a federal housing role; fringe candidates like Tory linger at low odds despite exits. Nominations and debates ahead could shift dynamics.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Hacim
$9,231
Bitiş Tarihi
26 Eki 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 77% implied probability for the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election, driven by early March polls showing her leading challengers by double digits—such as 44% to Brad Bradford's 26% in a Liaison Strategies survey and 35% to his 29% in Pallas Data—following former Mayor John Tory's announcement he will not run and Michael Ford's withdrawal. High undecided rates around 25% underscore the early stage, but Chow's incumbency advantage and focus on housing and transit bolster her position amid voter concerns over city direction. Bradford, a city councillor actively campaigning for change, trails at 11% as the primary conservative alternative, while Ana Bailão's 6% reflects her lower profile since taking a federal housing role; fringe candidates like Tory linger at low odds despite exits. Nominations and debates ahead could shift dynamics.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Hacim
$9,231
Bitiş Tarihi
26 Eki 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Toronto Mayoral Election Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 8 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 77% ile "Olivia Chow", ardından 11% ile "Brad Bradford" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 77¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 77% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Apr 1, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 8 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" için mevcut favori 77% ile "Olivia Chow"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 77% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 11% ile "Brad Bradford"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.