Incumbent Republican Pat Fallon secured the GOP nomination in Texas' 4th Congressional District's March 3 primary with 81% of the vote, defeating challenger Don Horn amid a solidly Republican district rated Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Democrat Jason Pearce narrowly won his primary at 52%, but faces steep structural barriers in the redrawn district stretching from Dallas suburbs to the Arkansas border, with Fallon holding a massive fundraising edge—over $1 million cash on hand versus Pearce's under $10,000 as of early 2026. Absent national midterm wave dynamics or scandals, trader consensus at 85.5% for Republicans reflects historical dominance and incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTX-04 House Election Winner
TX-04 House Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
15%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Republican Party
$1,656 Hac.
86%
Democratic Party
$1,842 Hac.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pat Fallon secured the GOP nomination in Texas' 4th Congressional District's March 3 primary with 81% of the vote, defeating challenger Don Horn amid a solidly Republican district rated Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Democrat Jason Pearce narrowly won his primary at 52%, but faces steep structural barriers in the redrawn district stretching from Dallas suburbs to the Arkansas border, with Fallon holding a massive fundraising edge—over $1 million cash on hand versus Pearce's under $10,000 as of early 2026. Absent national midterm wave dynamics or scandals, trader consensus at 85.5% for Republicans reflects historical dominance and incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Hacim
$3,498Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pat Fallon secured the GOP nomination in Texas' 4th Congressional District's March 3 primary with 81% of the vote, defeating challenger Don Horn amid a solidly Republican district rated Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Democrat Jason Pearce narrowly won his primary at 52%, but faces steep structural barriers in the redrawn district stretching from Dallas suburbs to the Arkansas border, with Fallon holding a massive fundraising edge—over $1 million cash on hand versus Pearce's under $10,000 as of early 2026. Absent national midterm wave dynamics or scandals, trader consensus at 85.5% for Republicans reflects historical dominance and incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$3,498Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pat Fallon secured the GOP nomination in Texas' 4th Congressional District's March 3 primary with 81% of the vote, defeating challenger Don Horn amid a solidly Republican district rated Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Democrat Jason Pearce narrowly won his primary at 52%, but faces steep structural barriers in the redrawn district stretching from Dallas suburbs to the Arkansas border, with Fallon holding a massive fundraising edge—over $1 million cash on hand versus Pearce's under $10,000 as of early 2026. Absent national midterm wave dynamics or scandals, trader consensus at 85.5% for Republicans reflects historical dominance and incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular