Trader consensus reflects a 72.5% implied probability against the U.S. enacting an AI safety bill before 2027, driven by persistent gridlock in the divided 119th Congress (2025-2026), where multiple bills like the Protect American AI Act (H.R. 8037) and AI Accountability Act remain stalled in committees such as Judiciary and Energy and Commerce since their March introductions. The Trump administration's March 20 National Policy Framework urged light-touch federal AI regulation and preemption of state laws, but it has sparked partisan pushback—Democrats seek stronger safeguards while Republicans prioritize innovation—amid a crowded legislative calendar and looming 2026 midterms. States continue advancing their own AI measures, underscoring federal inaction as the dominant barrier to passage.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$87,195 Hac.
$87,195 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
$87,195 Hac.
$87,195 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus reflects a 72.5% implied probability against the U.S. enacting an AI safety bill before 2027, driven by persistent gridlock in the divided 119th Congress (2025-2026), where multiple bills like the Protect American AI Act (H.R. 8037) and AI Accountability Act remain stalled in committees such as Judiciary and Energy and Commerce since their March introductions. The Trump administration's March 20 National Policy Framework urged light-touch federal AI regulation and preemption of state laws, but it has sparked partisan pushback—Democrats seek stronger safeguards while Republicans prioritize innovation—amid a crowded legislative calendar and looming 2026 midterms. States continue advancing their own AI measures, underscoring federal inaction as the dominant barrier to passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Hacim
$87,195Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus reflects a 72.5% implied probability against the U.S. enacting an AI safety bill before 2027, driven by persistent gridlock in the divided 119th Congress (2025-2026), where multiple bills like the Protect American AI Act (H.R. 8037) and AI Accountability Act remain stalled in committees such as Judiciary and Energy and Commerce since their March introductions. The Trump administration's March 20 National Policy Framework urged light-touch federal AI regulation and preemption of state laws, but it has sparked partisan pushback—Democrats seek stronger safeguards while Republicans prioritize innovation—amid a crowded legislative calendar and looming 2026 midterms. States continue advancing their own AI measures, underscoring federal inaction as the dominant barrier to passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$87,195Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 72.5% implied probability against the U.S. enacting an AI safety bill before 2027, driven by persistent gridlock in the divided 119th Congress (2025-2026), where multiple bills like the Protect American AI Act (H.R. 8037) and AI Accountability Act remain stalled in committees such as Judiciary and Energy and Commerce since their March introductions. The Trump administration's March 20 National Policy Framework urged light-touch federal AI regulation and preemption of state laws, but it has sparked partisan pushback—Democrats seek stronger safeguards while Republicans prioritize innovation—amid a crowded legislative calendar and looming 2026 midterms. States continue advancing their own AI measures, underscoring federal inaction as the dominant barrier to passage.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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